Traders assign the highest probabilities to 90-91°F (42.5%) and 92-93°F (35.5%) for Miami's peak temperature on August 3 because official National Weather Service and model guidance currently centers near 90°F under typical early-August subtropical conditions, including sea-surface temperatures around 85°F and a 30-40% chance of afternoon convection. Recent record-setting heat through late July and early August has elevated the baseline, yet increasing moisture and sea-breeze effects often cap daytime maxima. The narrow gap between the two leading bins reflects modest uncertainty in how much additional warming occurs before storms develop, while lower-probability higher bins (94°F+) would require suppressed convection and stronger subsidence not currently favored by guidance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Miami on August 3?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 3?
90-91°F 43%
92-93°F 37%
88-89°F 12%
94-95°F 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 3, 2026
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
12%
90-91°F
43%
92-93°F
37%
94-95°F
9%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 43%
92-93°F 37%
88-89°F 12%
94-95°F 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 3, 2026
81°F or below
$72 ปริมาณ
<1%
82-83°F
$583 ปริมาณ
1%
84-85°F
$97 ปริมาณ
2%
86-87°F
$208 ปริมาณ
3%
88-89°F
$50 ปริมาณ
12%
90-91°F
$80 ปริมาณ
43%
92-93°F
$106 ปริมาณ
37%
94-95°F
$1,203 ปริมาณ
9%
96-97°F
$275 ปริมาณ
2%
98-99°F
$80 ปริมาณ
<1%
100°F or higher
$37 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest probabilities to 90-91°F (42.5%) and 92-93°F (35.5%) for Miami's peak temperature on August 3 because official National Weather Service and model guidance currently centers near 90°F under typical early-August subtropical conditions, including sea-surface temperatures around 85°F and a 30-40% chance of afternoon convection. Recent record-setting heat through late July and early August has elevated the baseline, yet increasing moisture and sea-breeze effects often cap daytime maxima. The narrow gap between the two leading bins reflects modest uncertainty in how much additional warming occurs before storms develop, while lower-probability higher bins (94°F+) would require suppressed convection and stronger subsidence not currently favored by guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,791วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest probabilities to 90-91°F (42.5%) and 92-93°F (35.5%) for Miami's peak temperature on August 3 because official National Weather Service and model guidance currently centers near 90°F under typical early-August subtropical conditions, including sea-surface temperatures around 85°F and a 30-40% chance of afternoon convection. Recent record-setting heat through late July and early August has elevated the baseline, yet increasing moisture and sea-breeze effects often cap daytime maxima. The narrow gap between the two leading bins reflects modest uncertainty in how much additional warming occurs before storms develop, while lower-probability higher bins (94°F+) would require suppressed convection and stronger subsidence not currently favored by guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,791วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest probabilities to 90-91°F (42.5%) and 92-93°F (35.5%) for Miami's peak temperature on August 3 because official National Weather Service and model guidance currently centers near 90°F under typical early-August subtropical conditions, including sea-surface temperatures around 85°F and a 30-40% chance of afternoon convection. Recent record-setting heat through late July and early August has elevated the baseline, yet increasing moisture and sea-breeze effects often cap daytime maxima. The narrow gap between the two leading bins reflects modest uncertainty in how much additional warming occurs before storms develop, while lower-probability higher bins (94°F+) would require suppressed convection and stronger subsidence not currently favored by guidance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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