Recent National Weather Service guidance indicates highs near 76°F for Chicago on August 3 under persistent northeasterly flow and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating below late-summer norms of 83–84°F. Ensemble model spreads introduce modest uncertainty around intensification of the onshore breeze or earlier clearing, supporting market-implied odds clustered at 78–81°F while keeping lower bins (76–77°F) viable. Surface observations and lake-modified air masses further temper peak readings, with any shift in steering patterns or reduced cloudiness the key variables that could tip resolution between the two leading temperature bins.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chicago on August 3?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 3?
78-79°F 41%
80-81°F 37%
76-77°F 13%
82-83°F 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 3, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
41%
80-81°F
37%
82-83°F
10%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 41%
80-81°F 37%
76-77°F 13%
82-83°F 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 3, 2026
69°F or below
$347 ปริมาณ
<1%
70-71°F
$318 ปริมาณ
1%
72-73°F
$148 ปริมาณ
1%
74-75°F
$456 ปริมาณ
3%
76-77°F
$307 ปริมาณ
13%
78-79°F
$1,232 ปริมาณ
41%
80-81°F
$1,126 ปริมาณ
37%
82-83°F
$577 ปริมาณ
10%
84-85°F
$347 ปริมาณ
1%
86-87°F
$162 ปริมาณ
<1%
88°F or higher
$455 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance indicates highs near 76°F for Chicago on August 3 under persistent northeasterly flow and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating below late-summer norms of 83–84°F. Ensemble model spreads introduce modest uncertainty around intensification of the onshore breeze or earlier clearing, supporting market-implied odds clustered at 78–81°F while keeping lower bins (76–77°F) viable. Surface observations and lake-modified air masses further temper peak readings, with any shift in steering patterns or reduced cloudiness the key variables that could tip resolution between the two leading temperature bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,474วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance indicates highs near 76°F for Chicago on August 3 under persistent northeasterly flow and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating below late-summer norms of 83–84°F. Ensemble model spreads introduce modest uncertainty around intensification of the onshore breeze or earlier clearing, supporting market-implied odds clustered at 78–81°F while keeping lower bins (76–77°F) viable. Surface observations and lake-modified air masses further temper peak readings, with any shift in steering patterns or reduced cloudiness the key variables that could tip resolution between the two leading temperature bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,474วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance indicates highs near 76°F for Chicago on August 3 under persistent northeasterly flow and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating below late-summer norms of 83–84°F. Ensemble model spreads introduce modest uncertainty around intensification of the onshore breeze or earlier clearing, supporting market-implied odds clustered at 78–81°F while keeping lower bins (76–77°F) viable. Surface observations and lake-modified air masses further temper peak readings, with any shift in steering patterns or reduced cloudiness the key variables that could tip resolution between the two leading temperature bins.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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