Current forecast models from NOAA and the National Weather Service indicate a cooler-than-normal air mass over Chicago for August 2, driven by increased cloud cover, possible onshore lake breeze effects from Lake Michigan, and steering patterns limiting daytime heating. These conditions support market-implied odds favoring a high of 74–77°F as the consensus range, well below the 1991–2020 climatological normal near 84°F. Recent model consensus shows limited variability, with only modest upside risk from clearing skies or stronger mixing, keeping higher bins like 78°F+ at low implied probabilities under 16%. Updated short-range guidance in the past 48 hours has reinforced this outlook ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chicago on August 2?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 2?
76-77°F 43%
74-75°F 30%
78-79°F 18%
72-73°F 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 2, 2026
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
30%
76-77°F
43%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
1%
76-77°F 43%
74-75°F 30%
78-79°F 18%
72-73°F 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 2, 2026
65°F or below
$15 ปริมาณ
1%
66-67°F
$31 ปริมาณ
2%
68-69°F
$31 ปริมาณ
2%
70-71°F
$20 ปริมาณ
2%
72-73°F
$31 ปริมาณ
12%
74-75°F
$46 ปริมาณ
30%
76-77°F
$101 ปริมาณ
43%
78-79°F
$111 ปริมาณ
18%
80-81°F
$42 ปริมาณ
1%
82-83°F
$32 ปริมาณ
1%
84°F or higher
$15 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from NOAA and the National Weather Service indicate a cooler-than-normal air mass over Chicago for August 2, driven by increased cloud cover, possible onshore lake breeze effects from Lake Michigan, and steering patterns limiting daytime heating. These conditions support market-implied odds favoring a high of 74–77°F as the consensus range, well below the 1991–2020 climatological normal near 84°F. Recent model consensus shows limited variability, with only modest upside risk from clearing skies or stronger mixing, keeping higher bins like 78°F+ at low implied probabilities under 16%. Updated short-range guidance in the past 48 hours has reinforced this outlook ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$476วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from NOAA and the National Weather Service indicate a cooler-than-normal air mass over Chicago for August 2, driven by increased cloud cover, possible onshore lake breeze effects from Lake Michigan, and steering patterns limiting daytime heating. These conditions support market-implied odds favoring a high of 74–77°F as the consensus range, well below the 1991–2020 climatological normal near 84°F. Recent model consensus shows limited variability, with only modest upside risk from clearing skies or stronger mixing, keeping higher bins like 78°F+ at low implied probabilities under 16%. Updated short-range guidance in the past 48 hours has reinforced this outlook ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$476วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from NOAA and the National Weather Service indicate a cooler-than-normal air mass over Chicago for August 2, driven by increased cloud cover, possible onshore lake breeze effects from Lake Michigan, and steering patterns limiting daytime heating. These conditions support market-implied odds favoring a high of 74–77°F as the consensus range, well below the 1991–2020 climatological normal near 84°F. Recent model consensus shows limited variability, with only modest upside risk from clearing skies or stronger mixing, keeping higher bins like 78°F+ at low implied probabilities under 16%. Updated short-range guidance in the past 48 hours has reinforced this outlook ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย