Recent Météo-France forecasts indicate a cooldown across Île-de-France on August 6, with largely sunny conditions and an expected afternoon high of 26°C following warmer July patterns. This aligns with the market's strong weighting toward 25°C and 26°C outcomes, as ensemble models from European centers show limited potential for significant deviation absent rapid shifts in steering flows or cloud cover. Typical August climatology for Paris centers on highs near 24–25°C, providing historical context for why extremes above 27°C or below 24°C carry low implied probabilities. Updated model runs and official vigilance maps in the coming hours represent key variables that could refine these consensus views before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Paris on August 6?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 6?
25°C 49%
26°C 36%
24°C 8%
27°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 6, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
8%
25°C
49%
26°C
36%
27°C
8%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 49%
26°C 36%
24°C 8%
27°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 6, 2026
21°C or below
$357 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$961 ปริมาณ
2%
23°C
$391 ปริมาณ
3%
24°C
$716 ปริมาณ
8%
25°C
$1,000 ปริมาณ
49%
26°C
$900 ปริมาณ
36%
27°C
$337 ปริมาณ
8%
28°C
$465 ปริมาณ
2%
29°C
$518 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$155 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C or higher
$1,251 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France forecasts indicate a cooldown across Île-de-France on August 6, with largely sunny conditions and an expected afternoon high of 26°C following warmer July patterns. This aligns with the market's strong weighting toward 25°C and 26°C outcomes, as ensemble models from European centers show limited potential for significant deviation absent rapid shifts in steering flows or cloud cover. Typical August climatology for Paris centers on highs near 24–25°C, providing historical context for why extremes above 27°C or below 24°C carry low implied probabilities. Updated model runs and official vigilance maps in the coming hours represent key variables that could refine these consensus views before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,051วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France forecasts indicate a cooldown across Île-de-France on August 6, with largely sunny conditions and an expected afternoon high of 26°C following warmer July patterns. This aligns with the market's strong weighting toward 25°C and 26°C outcomes, as ensemble models from European centers show limited potential for significant deviation absent rapid shifts in steering flows or cloud cover. Typical August climatology for Paris centers on highs near 24–25°C, providing historical context for why extremes above 27°C or below 24°C carry low implied probabilities. Updated model runs and official vigilance maps in the coming hours represent key variables that could refine these consensus views before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,051วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 4, 2026, 1:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France forecasts indicate a cooldown across Île-de-France on August 6, with largely sunny conditions and an expected afternoon high of 26°C following warmer July patterns. This aligns with the market's strong weighting toward 25°C and 26°C outcomes, as ensemble models from European centers show limited potential for significant deviation absent rapid shifts in steering flows or cloud cover. Typical August climatology for Paris centers on highs near 24–25°C, providing historical context for why extremes above 27°C or below 24°C carry low implied probabilities. Updated model runs and official vigilance maps in the coming hours represent key variables that could refine these consensus views before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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