Trader consensus positions 35°C and 36°C as the leading outcomes for Taipei’s highest temperature on August 6, consistent with early August climatology under the East Asian summer monsoon regime. Historical observations show typical daily maxima of 33–35°C, modulated by urban heat island effects and high humidity that can elevate apparent peaks. Current model guidance indicates stable subtropical high pressure with limited cloud cover or precipitation, supporting the market-implied distribution across the 34–36°C range. Minor uncertainty stems from potential short-term shifts in steering flow or local convection, which upcoming Central Weather Bureau forecast updates will clarify before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Taipei on August 6?
35°C 39%
36°C 29%
34°C 21%
33°C 7%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
7%
34°C
21%
35°C
39%
36°C
29%
37°C
7%
38°C or higher
2%
35°C 39%
36°C 29%
34°C 21%
33°C 7%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
7%
34°C
21%
35°C
39%
36°C
29%
37°C
7%
38°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus positions 35°C and 36°C as the leading outcomes for Taipei’s highest temperature on August 6, consistent with early August climatology under the East Asian summer monsoon regime. Historical observations show typical daily maxima of 33–35°C, modulated by urban heat island effects and high humidity that can elevate apparent peaks. Current model guidance indicates stable subtropical high pressure with limited cloud cover or precipitation, supporting the market-implied distribution across the 34–36°C range. Minor uncertainty stems from potential short-term shifts in steering flow or local convection, which upcoming Central Weather Bureau forecast updates will clarify before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว



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