Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a cooler-than-normal air mass over the Great Lakes region, with Lake Michigan's lake breeze expected to cap afternoon highs in Chicago near 77-80°F on August 5. This places the market's leading bins (76-77°F at 33.5% and 78-79°F at 29.5%) in alignment with consensus projections that are 4-7°F below the 1991-2020 climatological average of 84°F. Key differentiating factors include persistent northerly flow limiting daytime mixing and potential for increased cloud cover or light precipitation that further suppresses maximum temperatures. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs through early August 4 will refine these boundaries ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chicago on August 5?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 5?
76-77°F 34%
78-79°F 28%
80-81°F 20%
75°F or below 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 5, 2026
75°F or below
16%
76-77°F
34%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 34%
78-79°F 28%
80-81°F 20%
75°F or below 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 5, 2026
75°F or below
$836 ปริมาณ
16%
76-77°F
$112 ปริมาณ
34%
78-79°F
$122 ปริมาณ
28%
80-81°F
$144 ปริมาณ
20%
82-83°F
$81 ปริมาณ
8%
84-85°F
$605 ปริมาณ
1%
86-87°F
$89 ปริมาณ
1%
88-89°F
$154 ปริมาณ
1%
90-91°F
$36 ปริมาณ
1%
92-93°F
$124 ปริมาณ
<1%
94°F or higher
$80 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a cooler-than-normal air mass over the Great Lakes region, with Lake Michigan's lake breeze expected to cap afternoon highs in Chicago near 77-80°F on August 5. This places the market's leading bins (76-77°F at 33.5% and 78-79°F at 29.5%) in alignment with consensus projections that are 4-7°F below the 1991-2020 climatological average of 84°F. Key differentiating factors include persistent northerly flow limiting daytime mixing and potential for increased cloud cover or light precipitation that further suppresses maximum temperatures. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs through early August 4 will refine these boundaries ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,382วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a cooler-than-normal air mass over the Great Lakes region, with Lake Michigan's lake breeze expected to cap afternoon highs in Chicago near 77-80°F on August 5. This places the market's leading bins (76-77°F at 33.5% and 78-79°F at 29.5%) in alignment with consensus projections that are 4-7°F below the 1991-2020 climatological average of 84°F. Key differentiating factors include persistent northerly flow limiting daytime mixing and potential for increased cloud cover or light precipitation that further suppresses maximum temperatures. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs through early August 4 will refine these boundaries ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,382วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a cooler-than-normal air mass over the Great Lakes region, with Lake Michigan's lake breeze expected to cap afternoon highs in Chicago near 77-80°F on August 5. This places the market's leading bins (76-77°F at 33.5% and 78-79°F at 29.5%) in alignment with consensus projections that are 4-7°F below the 1991-2020 climatological average of 84°F. Key differentiating factors include persistent northerly flow limiting daytime mixing and potential for increased cloud cover or light precipitation that further suppresses maximum temperatures. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs through early August 4 will refine these boundaries ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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