Trader consensus in the Chicago daily high temperature market centers on 84–87°F ranges as the most probable outcomes, driven by the latest National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance showing a modest warming trend amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Persistent morning cloud cover and scattered showers earlier in the period have suppressed readings below the 83.5°F climatological normal for August 7, but recent model runs indicate clearing conditions could allow afternoon temperatures to reach the mid-80s at official stations like Midway or O’Hare. Lake Michigan’s moderating effect and any residual moisture keep extreme outliers (below 80°F or above 90°F) at very low implied probabilities, consistent with ensemble spread and historical variability for early-August setups.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chicago on August 7?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 7?
84-85°F 41%
86-87°F 30%
82-83°F 21%
88-89°F 7%
ใหม่
$10,053 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$10,053 ปริมาณ
Aug 7, 2026
75°F or below
1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
21%
84-85°F
41%
86-87°F
30%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
1%
94°F or higher
1%
84-85°F 41%
86-87°F 30%
82-83°F 21%
88-89°F 7%
ใหม่
$10,053 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$10,053 ปริมาณ
Aug 7, 2026
75°F or below
$1,326 ปริมาณ
1%
76-77°F
$925 ปริมาณ
<1%
78-79°F
$313 ปริมาณ
<1%
80-81°F
$395 ปริมาณ
3%
82-83°F
$1,791 ปริมาณ
21%
84-85°F
$1,250 ปริมาณ
41%
86-87°F
$1,371 ปริมาณ
30%
88-89°F
$440 ปริมาณ
7%
90-91°F
$979 ปริมาณ
2%
92-93°F
$292 ปริมาณ
1%
94°F or higher
$1,132 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in the Chicago daily high temperature market centers on 84–87°F ranges as the most probable outcomes, driven by the latest National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance showing a modest warming trend amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Persistent morning cloud cover and scattered showers earlier in the period have suppressed readings below the 83.5°F climatological normal for August 7, but recent model runs indicate clearing conditions could allow afternoon temperatures to reach the mid-80s at official stations like Midway or O’Hare. Lake Michigan’s moderating effect and any residual moisture keep extreme outliers (below 80°F or above 90°F) at very low implied probabilities, consistent with ensemble spread and historical variability for early-August setups.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,053วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in the Chicago daily high temperature market centers on 84–87°F ranges as the most probable outcomes, driven by the latest National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance showing a modest warming trend amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Persistent morning cloud cover and scattered showers earlier in the period have suppressed readings below the 83.5°F climatological normal for August 7, but recent model runs indicate clearing conditions could allow afternoon temperatures to reach the mid-80s at official stations like Midway or O’Hare. Lake Michigan’s moderating effect and any residual moisture keep extreme outliers (below 80°F or above 90°F) at very low implied probabilities, consistent with ensemble spread and historical variability for early-August setups.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,053วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in the Chicago daily high temperature market centers on 84–87°F ranges as the most probable outcomes, driven by the latest National Weather Service and AccuWeather model guidance showing a modest warming trend amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Persistent morning cloud cover and scattered showers earlier in the period have suppressed readings below the 83.5°F climatological normal for August 7, but recent model runs indicate clearing conditions could allow afternoon temperatures to reach the mid-80s at official stations like Midway or O’Hare. Lake Michigan’s moderating effect and any residual moisture keep extreme outliers (below 80°F or above 90°F) at very low implied probabilities, consistent with ensemble spread and historical variability for early-August setups.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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