Recent National Weather Service model guidance and ensemble runs indicate a transitional warm-air advection pattern over the Northeast, with surface highs likely reaching the upper 80s to low 90s°F in New York City on August 6 amid moderate humidity and limited cloud cover. This keeps the 86–91°F brackets tightly clustered in trader sentiment, as small differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon sea-breeze timing, or urban heat-island enhancement at Central Park can shift the daily maximum by 2–4°F. Historical August climatology shows a mean high near 83°F, yet above-average temperatures this month support the current distribution, while any late-day convection or stronger onshore flow would cap readings in the mid-80s. Updated short-range forecasts and 12Z model cycles tomorrow morning will provide the decisive data ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in NYC on August 6?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 6?
88-89°F 32%
90-91°F 31%
86-87°F 28%
84-85°F 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 6, 2026
79°F or below
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
28%
88-89°F
32%
90-91°F
31%
92-93°F
5%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
1%
88-89°F 32%
90-91°F 31%
86-87°F 28%
84-85°F 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 6, 2026
79°F or below
$10 ปริมาณ
1%
80-81°F
$55 ปริมาณ
1%
82-83°F
$15 ปริมาณ
3%
84-85°F
$40 ปริมาณ
5%
86-87°F
$9 ปริมาณ
28%
88-89°F
$57 ปริมาณ
32%
90-91°F
$63 ปริมาณ
31%
92-93°F
$117 ปริมาณ
5%
94-95°F
$341 ปริมาณ
2%
96-97°F
$16 ปริมาณ
1%
98°F or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model guidance and ensemble runs indicate a transitional warm-air advection pattern over the Northeast, with surface highs likely reaching the upper 80s to low 90s°F in New York City on August 6 amid moderate humidity and limited cloud cover. This keeps the 86–91°F brackets tightly clustered in trader sentiment, as small differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon sea-breeze timing, or urban heat-island enhancement at Central Park can shift the daily maximum by 2–4°F. Historical August climatology shows a mean high near 83°F, yet above-average temperatures this month support the current distribution, while any late-day convection or stronger onshore flow would cap readings in the mid-80s. Updated short-range forecasts and 12Z model cycles tomorrow morning will provide the decisive data ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$724วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model guidance and ensemble runs indicate a transitional warm-air advection pattern over the Northeast, with surface highs likely reaching the upper 80s to low 90s°F in New York City on August 6 amid moderate humidity and limited cloud cover. This keeps the 86–91°F brackets tightly clustered in trader sentiment, as small differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon sea-breeze timing, or urban heat-island enhancement at Central Park can shift the daily maximum by 2–4°F. Historical August climatology shows a mean high near 83°F, yet above-average temperatures this month support the current distribution, while any late-day convection or stronger onshore flow would cap readings in the mid-80s. Updated short-range forecasts and 12Z model cycles tomorrow morning will provide the decisive data ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$724วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service model guidance and ensemble runs indicate a transitional warm-air advection pattern over the Northeast, with surface highs likely reaching the upper 80s to low 90s°F in New York City on August 6 amid moderate humidity and limited cloud cover. This keeps the 86–91°F brackets tightly clustered in trader sentiment, as small differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon sea-breeze timing, or urban heat-island enhancement at Central Park can shift the daily maximum by 2–4°F. Historical August climatology shows a mean high near 83°F, yet above-average temperatures this month support the current distribution, while any late-day convection or stronger onshore flow would cap readings in the mid-80s. Updated short-range forecasts and 12Z model cycles tomorrow morning will provide the decisive data ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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