**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 6 centers on 14°C (54.5% implied probability), followed by 13°C (23.5%) and 15°C (17.5%), reflecting expectations of typical mid-winter conditions moderated by an incoming cold front.** Official guidance from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and short-term models points to a frontal passage on August 6 that will shift winds and introduce cooler maritime air, resetting daytime maxima near seasonal norms after slightly milder conditions earlier in the week. Recent observations show highs around 15–16°C on August 4–5 amid fog and variable cloud cover, but the front is projected to limit further warming and cap the daily peak. Climatologically, August averages for Buenos Aires fall between 15–17°C, with cold fronts frequently producing 13–15°C maxima under post-frontal stabilization. Numerical weather models show broad consensus on this range, with limited spread due to the near-term timing and the front’s established trajectory. Uncertainties remain around exact frontal timing or localized cloud/rain effects that could nudge the maximum by 1°C either way, keeping the market-implied distribution tightly clustered around 13–15°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 6?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 6?
14°C 55%
13°C 24%
15°C 18%
12°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 6, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
4%
13°C
24%
14°C
55%
15°C
18%
16°C
4%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 55%
13°C 24%
15°C 18%
12°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 6, 2026
8°C or below
$206 ปริมาณ
<1%
9°C
$182 ปริมาณ
<1%
10°C
$83 ปริมาณ
<1%
11°C
$118 ปริมาณ
<1%
12°C
$188 ปริมาณ
4%
13°C
$886 ปริมาณ
24%
14°C
$3,044 ปริมาณ
55%
15°C
$456 ปริมาณ
18%
16°C
$233 ปริมาณ
4%
17°C
$246 ปริมาณ
2%
18°C or higher
$161 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 6 centers on 14°C (54.5% implied probability), followed by 13°C (23.5%) and 15°C (17.5%), reflecting expectations of typical mid-winter conditions moderated by an incoming cold front.**
Official guidance from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and short-term models points to a frontal passage on August 6 that will shift winds and introduce cooler maritime air, resetting daytime maxima near seasonal norms after slightly milder conditions earlier in the week. Recent observations show highs around 15–16°C on August 4–5 amid fog and variable cloud cover, but the front is projected to limit further warming and cap the daily peak.
Climatologically, August averages for Buenos Aires fall between 15–17°C, with cold fronts frequently producing 13–15°C maxima under post-frontal stabilization. Numerical weather models show broad consensus on this range, with limited spread due to the near-term timing and the front’s established trajectory. Uncertainties remain around exact frontal timing or localized cloud/rain effects that could nudge the maximum by 1°C either way, keeping the market-implied distribution tightly clustered around 13–15°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,803วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 6 centers on 14°C (54.5% implied probability), followed by 13°C (23.5%) and 15°C (17.5%), reflecting expectations of typical mid-winter conditions moderated by an incoming cold front.**
Official guidance from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and short-term models points to a frontal passage on August 6 that will shift winds and introduce cooler maritime air, resetting daytime maxima near seasonal norms after slightly milder conditions earlier in the week. Recent observations show highs around 15–16°C on August 4–5 amid fog and variable cloud cover, but the front is projected to limit further warming and cap the daily peak.
Climatologically, August averages for Buenos Aires fall between 15–17°C, with cold fronts frequently producing 13–15°C maxima under post-frontal stabilization. Numerical weather models show broad consensus on this range, with limited spread due to the near-term timing and the front’s established trajectory. Uncertainties remain around exact frontal timing or localized cloud/rain effects that could nudge the maximum by 1°C either way, keeping the market-implied distribution tightly clustered around 13–15°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,803วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 6 centers on 14°C (54.5% implied probability), followed by 13°C (23.5%) and 15°C (17.5%), reflecting expectations of typical mid-winter conditions moderated by an incoming cold front.** Official guidance from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and short-term models points to a frontal passage on August 6 that will shift winds and introduce cooler maritime air, resetting daytime maxima near seasonal norms after slightly milder conditions earlier in the week. Recent observations show highs around 15–16°C on August 4–5 amid fog and variable cloud cover, but the front is projected to limit further warming and cap the daily peak. Climatologically, August averages for Buenos Aires fall between 15–17°C, with cold fronts frequently producing 13–15°C maxima under post-frontal stabilization. Numerical weather models show broad consensus on this range, with limited spread due to the near-term timing and the front’s established trajectory. Uncertainties remain around exact frontal timing or localized cloud/rain effects that could nudge the maximum by 1°C either way, keeping the market-implied distribution tightly clustered around 13–15°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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