Current ensemble forecasts for Buenos Aires on August 5 point to a daily maximum near 16–17°C, reflecting the typical late-winter climatology of mild maritime air under variable cloud cover that limits solar insolation. Regional models show close agreement on overall temperatures but diverge slightly on exact peak values depending on the timing of any weak frontal boundary or changes in low-level moisture and wind direction. This narrow spread produces tightly clustered market-implied probabilities, with traders assigning the highest weight to 16°C because it aligns with the central tendency of recent runs while accounting for the 1–2°C uncertainty range inherent in short-range temperature prediction during transitional winter conditions. Updated model guidance and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 5?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 5?
16°C 32%
17°C 27%
15°C 20%
18°C 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 5, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
10%
15°C
20%
16°C
32%
17°C
27%
18°C
16%
19°C
3%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
2%
16°C 32%
17°C 27%
15°C 20%
18°C 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 5, 2026
11°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
12°C
$10 ปริมาณ
1%
13°C
$27 ปริมาณ
3%
14°C
$35 ปริมาณ
10%
15°C
$23 ปริมาณ
20%
16°C
$5 ปริมาณ
32%
17°C
$51 ปริมาณ
27%
18°C
$99 ปริมาณ
16%
19°C
$27 ปริมาณ
3%
20°C
$27 ปริมาณ
2%
21°C or higher
$21 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts for Buenos Aires on August 5 point to a daily maximum near 16–17°C, reflecting the typical late-winter climatology of mild maritime air under variable cloud cover that limits solar insolation. Regional models show close agreement on overall temperatures but diverge slightly on exact peak values depending on the timing of any weak frontal boundary or changes in low-level moisture and wind direction. This narrow spread produces tightly clustered market-implied probabilities, with traders assigning the highest weight to 16°C because it aligns with the central tendency of recent runs while accounting for the 1–2°C uncertainty range inherent in short-range temperature prediction during transitional winter conditions. Updated model guidance and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$324วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts for Buenos Aires on August 5 point to a daily maximum near 16–17°C, reflecting the typical late-winter climatology of mild maritime air under variable cloud cover that limits solar insolation. Regional models show close agreement on overall temperatures but diverge slightly on exact peak values depending on the timing of any weak frontal boundary or changes in low-level moisture and wind direction. This narrow spread produces tightly clustered market-implied probabilities, with traders assigning the highest weight to 16°C because it aligns with the central tendency of recent runs while accounting for the 1–2°C uncertainty range inherent in short-range temperature prediction during transitional winter conditions. Updated model guidance and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$324วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts for Buenos Aires on August 5 point to a daily maximum near 16–17°C, reflecting the typical late-winter climatology of mild maritime air under variable cloud cover that limits solar insolation. Regional models show close agreement on overall temperatures but diverge slightly on exact peak values depending on the timing of any weak frontal boundary or changes in low-level moisture and wind direction. This narrow spread produces tightly clustered market-implied probabilities, with traders assigning the highest weight to 16°C because it aligns with the central tendency of recent runs while accounting for the 1–2°C uncertainty range inherent in short-range temperature prediction during transitional winter conditions. Updated model guidance and official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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