Current National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on August 5, 2026, point to an overnight low near 69–72°F amid a warm, humid air mass with light winds and partly to mostly cloudy skies, aligning with the market's strong 62.5% implied probability on 70–71°F. August climatology features average Central Park lows around 70°F, elevated this season by above-normal temperatures and urban heat island effects that limit radiative cooling. Recent model consensus shows minimal overnight drops due to high dew points and residual cloud cover, though any unexpected clearing could push readings slightly lower. Traders are weighting these official guidance trends heavily, with lower-probability bins reflecting historical variability in minimum temperatures under similar late-summer patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in NYC on August 5?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 5?
70-71°F 63%
68-69°F 28%
72-73°F 11%
66-67°F 1.1%
ใหม่
$10,648 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$10,648 ปริมาณ
Aug 5, 2026
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
28%
70-71°F
63%
72-73°F
11%
74-75°F
1%
76°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 63%
68-69°F 28%
72-73°F 11%
66-67°F 1.1%
ใหม่
$10,648 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$10,648 ปริมาณ
Aug 5, 2026
57°F or below
$207 ปริมาณ
<1%
58-59°F
$362 ปริมาณ
<1%
60-61°F
$361 ปริมาณ
<1%
62-63°F
$918 ปริมาณ
<1%
64-65°F
$1,150 ปริมาณ
<1%
66-67°F
$627 ปริมาณ
1%
68-69°F
$686 ปริมาณ
28%
70-71°F
$1,701 ปริมาณ
63%
72-73°F
$434 ปริมาณ
11%
74-75°F
$2,545 ปริมาณ
1%
76°F or higher
$1,657 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on August 5, 2026, point to an overnight low near 69–72°F amid a warm, humid air mass with light winds and partly to mostly cloudy skies, aligning with the market's strong 62.5% implied probability on 70–71°F. August climatology features average Central Park lows around 70°F, elevated this season by above-normal temperatures and urban heat island effects that limit radiative cooling. Recent model consensus shows minimal overnight drops due to high dew points and residual cloud cover, though any unexpected clearing could push readings slightly lower. Traders are weighting these official guidance trends heavily, with lower-probability bins reflecting historical variability in minimum temperatures under similar late-summer patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,648วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on August 5, 2026, point to an overnight low near 69–72°F amid a warm, humid air mass with light winds and partly to mostly cloudy skies, aligning with the market's strong 62.5% implied probability on 70–71°F. August climatology features average Central Park lows around 70°F, elevated this season by above-normal temperatures and urban heat island effects that limit radiative cooling. Recent model consensus shows minimal overnight drops due to high dew points and residual cloud cover, though any unexpected clearing could push readings slightly lower. Traders are weighting these official guidance trends heavily, with lower-probability bins reflecting historical variability in minimum temperatures under similar late-summer patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,648วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on August 5, 2026, point to an overnight low near 69–72°F amid a warm, humid air mass with light winds and partly to mostly cloudy skies, aligning with the market's strong 62.5% implied probability on 70–71°F. August climatology features average Central Park lows around 70°F, elevated this season by above-normal temperatures and urban heat island effects that limit radiative cooling. Recent model consensus shows minimal overnight drops due to high dew points and residual cloud cover, though any unexpected clearing could push readings slightly lower. Traders are weighting these official guidance trends heavily, with lower-probability bins reflecting historical variability in minimum temperatures under similar late-summer patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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