Official National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate Miami will experience typical late-summer subtropical conditions on August 8, with overnight lows centered near 81°F driven by persistent easterly flow, high humidity, and urban heat retention that limits radiational cooling. This aligns with the market’s leading 80–81°F (39%) and 82–83°F (28.5%) bins, reflecting strong consensus across short-range forecasts with limited spread. No tropical systems or frontal passages are expected to alter the pattern, consistent with the below-normal 2026 Atlantic season outlook. Traders are pricing in modest uncertainty around exact minimum readings due to possible localized shower activity, but current data releases from NOAA keep probabilities anchored in the low-80s range ahead of tomorrow’s observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Miami on August 8?
80-81°F 39%
82-83°F 29%
78-79°F 18%
84-85°F 8%
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
39%
82-83°F
29%
84-85°F
8%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 39%
82-83°F 29%
78-79°F 18%
84-85°F 8%
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
39%
82-83°F
29%
84-85°F
8%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 6, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate Miami will experience typical late-summer subtropical conditions on August 8, with overnight lows centered near 81°F driven by persistent easterly flow, high humidity, and urban heat retention that limits radiational cooling. This aligns with the market’s leading 80–81°F (39%) and 82–83°F (28.5%) bins, reflecting strong consensus across short-range forecasts with limited spread. No tropical systems or frontal passages are expected to alter the pattern, consistent with the below-normal 2026 Atlantic season outlook. Traders are pricing in modest uncertainty around exact minimum readings due to possible localized shower activity, but current data releases from NOAA keep probabilities anchored in the low-80s range ahead of tomorrow’s observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย