Ensemble forecasts from European and global models show Paris minimum temperatures on August 9 clustering near 17–18°C as a strengthening high-pressure ridge promotes clear skies and reduced nocturnal radiative cooling. Historical August lows average 15–16°C, but current conditions feature warmer advection from the south and an urban heat island that elevates overnight readings, pushing trader consensus toward the higher end of the typical range. Model spread in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point forecasts creates the tight 17°C–18°C split, with cooler outcomes requiring unexpected cloud cover or a late frontal passage that remains unlikely per latest runs. Official Météo-France observations will determine resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Paris on August 9?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 9?
17°C 28%
18°C 19%
16°C 12%
19°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 9, 2026
14°C or below
5%
15°C
7%
16°C
12%
17°C
28%
18°C
19%
19°C
12%
20°C
7%
21°C
4%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
2%
17°C 28%
18°C 19%
16°C 12%
19°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 9, 2026
14°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
12%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
19°C
$110 ปริมาณ
12%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
21°C
$12 ปริมาณ
4%
22°C
$228 ปริมาณ
2%
23°C
$263 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C or higher
$12 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from European and global models show Paris minimum temperatures on August 9 clustering near 17–18°C as a strengthening high-pressure ridge promotes clear skies and reduced nocturnal radiative cooling. Historical August lows average 15–16°C, but current conditions feature warmer advection from the south and an urban heat island that elevates overnight readings, pushing trader consensus toward the higher end of the typical range. Model spread in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point forecasts creates the tight 17°C–18°C split, with cooler outcomes requiring unexpected cloud cover or a late frontal passage that remains unlikely per latest runs. Official Météo-France observations will determine resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$624วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from European and global models show Paris minimum temperatures on August 9 clustering near 17–18°C as a strengthening high-pressure ridge promotes clear skies and reduced nocturnal radiative cooling. Historical August lows average 15–16°C, but current conditions feature warmer advection from the south and an urban heat island that elevates overnight readings, pushing trader consensus toward the higher end of the typical range. Model spread in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point forecasts creates the tight 17°C–18°C split, with cooler outcomes requiring unexpected cloud cover or a late frontal passage that remains unlikely per latest runs. Official Météo-France observations will determine resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$624วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from European and global models show Paris minimum temperatures on August 9 clustering near 17–18°C as a strengthening high-pressure ridge promotes clear skies and reduced nocturnal radiative cooling. Historical August lows average 15–16°C, but current conditions feature warmer advection from the south and an urban heat island that elevates overnight readings, pushing trader consensus toward the higher end of the typical range. Model spread in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point forecasts creates the tight 17°C–18°C split, with cooler outcomes requiring unexpected cloud cover or a late frontal passage that remains unlikely per latest runs. Official Météo-France observations will determine resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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