Latest Met Office guidance and ensemble models show a minimum temperature near 17–18 °C for London on 9 August, driven by a strengthening warm air mass, light winds, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under mostly clear skies. Recent days have featured a steady warming trend, with daytime highs climbing toward 28–32 °C and overnight lows rising from the mid-teens, consistent with above-average August conditions across southern England. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 16–18 °C because small forecast differences in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing can shift the exact minimum by 1–2 °C, while lower or higher outcomes remain improbable given the current synoptic pattern. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in London on August 9?
Lowest temperature in London on August 9?
17°C 40%
16°C 32%
18°C 23%
19°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 9, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
4%
16°C
32%
17°C
40%
18°C
23%
19°C
7%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 40%
16°C 32%
18°C 23%
19°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 9, 2026
12°C or below
$55 ปริมาณ
<1%
13°C
$45 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$44 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$87 ปริมาณ
4%
16°C
$1,641 ปริมาณ
32%
17°C
$1,757 ปริมาณ
40%
18°C
$356 ปริมาณ
23%
19°C
$119 ปริมาณ
7%
20°C
$394 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$53 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C or higher
$50 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance and ensemble models show a minimum temperature near 17–18 °C for London on 9 August, driven by a strengthening warm air mass, light winds, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under mostly clear skies. Recent days have featured a steady warming trend, with daytime highs climbing toward 28–32 °C and overnight lows rising from the mid-teens, consistent with above-average August conditions across southern England. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 16–18 °C because small forecast differences in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing can shift the exact minimum by 1–2 °C, while lower or higher outcomes remain improbable given the current synoptic pattern. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,602วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance and ensemble models show a minimum temperature near 17–18 °C for London on 9 August, driven by a strengthening warm air mass, light winds, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under mostly clear skies. Recent days have featured a steady warming trend, with daytime highs climbing toward 28–32 °C and overnight lows rising from the mid-teens, consistent with above-average August conditions across southern England. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 16–18 °C because small forecast differences in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing can shift the exact minimum by 1–2 °C, while lower or higher outcomes remain improbable given the current synoptic pattern. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,602วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Met Office guidance and ensemble models show a minimum temperature near 17–18 °C for London on 9 August, driven by a strengthening warm air mass, light winds, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under mostly clear skies. Recent days have featured a steady warming trend, with daytime highs climbing toward 28–32 °C and overnight lows rising from the mid-teens, consistent with above-average August conditions across southern England. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 16–18 °C because small forecast differences in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing can shift the exact minimum by 1–2 °C, while lower or higher outcomes remain improbable given the current synoptic pattern. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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