Current Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and real-time observations point to a daily minimum near 28°C for August 8, 2026, under persistent subtropical high pressure with weak west-to-southwesterly winds, moderate humidity, and limited overnight radiative cooling typical of late summer. This setup, combined with urban heat island effects across the territory, has produced consistent lows in the 27–28°C range in recent days, aligning trader consensus with the 28°C outcome at 98% implied probability. Stronger monsoon influences, increased cloud cover, or heavier rainfall could realistically lower the minimum into the 27°C bucket, though model consensus currently shows low likelihood of such shifts before midnight.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 8?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 8?
28°C 98%
25°C 1.3%
27°C 1.3%
26°C <1%
$81,692 ปริมาณ
$81,692 ปริมาณ
Aug 8, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
98%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 98%
25°C 1.3%
27°C 1.3%
26°C <1%
$81,692 ปริมาณ
$81,692 ปริมาณ
Aug 8, 2026
22°C or below
$598 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$1,214 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$4,180 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$6,312 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C
$4,627 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C
$12,322 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$21,909 ปริมาณ
98%
29°C
$23,587 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$5,364 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$938 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C or higher
$641 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and real-time observations point to a daily minimum near 28°C for August 8, 2026, under persistent subtropical high pressure with weak west-to-southwesterly winds, moderate humidity, and limited overnight radiative cooling typical of late summer. This setup, combined with urban heat island effects across the territory, has produced consistent lows in the 27–28°C range in recent days, aligning trader consensus with the 28°C outcome at 98% implied probability. Stronger monsoon influences, increased cloud cover, or heavier rainfall could realistically lower the minimum into the 27°C bucket, though model consensus currently shows low likelihood of such shifts before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$81,692วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and real-time observations point to a daily minimum near 28°C for August 8, 2026, under persistent subtropical high pressure with weak west-to-southwesterly winds, moderate humidity, and limited overnight radiative cooling typical of late summer. This setup, combined with urban heat island effects across the territory, has produced consistent lows in the 27–28°C range in recent days, aligning trader consensus with the 28°C outcome at 98% implied probability. Stronger monsoon influences, increased cloud cover, or heavier rainfall could realistically lower the minimum into the 27°C bucket, though model consensus currently shows low likelihood of such shifts before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$81,692วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and real-time observations point to a daily minimum near 28°C for August 8, 2026, under persistent subtropical high pressure with weak west-to-southwesterly winds, moderate humidity, and limited overnight radiative cooling typical of late summer. This setup, combined with urban heat island effects across the territory, has produced consistent lows in the 27–28°C range in recent days, aligning trader consensus with the 28°C outcome at 98% implied probability. Stronger monsoon influences, increased cloud cover, or heavier rainfall could realistically lower the minimum into the 27°C bucket, though model consensus currently shows low likelihood of such shifts before midnight.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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