Official recordings from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a minimum temperature of 28°C on August 8, 2026, driving the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. August climatology in subtropical Hong Kong typically features overnight lows of 26–28°C under prevailing monsoon conditions and urban heat island effects, with recent seasonal forecasts indicating normal to above-normal temperatures through the month. Trader consensus reflects verified observational data rather than models, as post-event verification eliminates forecast uncertainty. Only an unprecedented instrumentation error or localized microclimate anomaly at the official site could realistically alter resolution, though such scenarios remain statistically negligible given established monitoring protocols.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 8?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 8?
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$104,225 ปริมาณ
$104,225 ปริมาณ
Aug 8, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$104,225 ปริมาณ
$104,225 ปริมาณ
Aug 8, 2026
22°C or below
$636 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$1,256 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$4,298 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$11,620 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$6,955 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$16,235 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$29,034 ปริมาณ
Yes
29°C
$27,221 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$5,393 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$938 ปริมาณ
No
32°C or higher
$641 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official recordings from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a minimum temperature of 28°C on August 8, 2026, driving the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. August climatology in subtropical Hong Kong typically features overnight lows of 26–28°C under prevailing monsoon conditions and urban heat island effects, with recent seasonal forecasts indicating normal to above-normal temperatures through the month. Trader consensus reflects verified observational data rather than models, as post-event verification eliminates forecast uncertainty. Only an unprecedented instrumentation error or localized microclimate anomaly at the official site could realistically alter resolution, though such scenarios remain statistically negligible given established monitoring protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$104,225วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official recordings from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a minimum temperature of 28°C on August 8, 2026, driving the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. August climatology in subtropical Hong Kong typically features overnight lows of 26–28°C under prevailing monsoon conditions and urban heat island effects, with recent seasonal forecasts indicating normal to above-normal temperatures through the month. Trader consensus reflects verified observational data rather than models, as post-event verification eliminates forecast uncertainty. Only an unprecedented instrumentation error or localized microclimate anomaly at the official site could realistically alter resolution, though such scenarios remain statistically negligible given established monitoring protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$104,225วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official recordings from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a minimum temperature of 28°C on August 8, 2026, driving the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. August climatology in subtropical Hong Kong typically features overnight lows of 26–28°C under prevailing monsoon conditions and urban heat island effects, with recent seasonal forecasts indicating normal to above-normal temperatures through the month. Trader consensus reflects verified observational data rather than models, as post-event verification eliminates forecast uncertainty. Only an unprecedented instrumentation error or localized microclimate anomaly at the official site could realistically alter resolution, though such scenarios remain statistically negligible given established monitoring protocols.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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