Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration for August 8 project daytime highs of 28–31°C in Taipei under partly cloudy skies with possible afternoon thundershowers, aligning with typical subtropical August patterns where average highs reach 32–34°C. These conditions, including high humidity, urban heat effects, and monsoon influences, drive the market’s emphasis on 32°C-or-higher (35.5%) alongside 30°C (23.5%) and 31°C (21.5%) outcomes. Recent model runs show limited intensification potential without a stronger steering ridge or reduced cloud cover, while historical analogs and climatological baselines underscore the narrow range of likely maxima absent typhoon impacts. Updated NHC or CWA guidance through the weekend will further refine these probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Taipei on August 8?
32°C or higher 36%
30°C 25%
31°C 22%
29°C 17%
$36,738 ปริมาณ
$36,738 ปริมาณ
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
17%
30°C
25%
31°C
22%
32°C or higher
36%
32°C or higher 36%
30°C 25%
31°C 22%
29°C 17%
$36,738 ปริมาณ
$36,738 ปริมาณ
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
17%
30°C
25%
31°C
22%
32°C or higher
36%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration for August 8 project daytime highs of 28–31°C in Taipei under partly cloudy skies with possible afternoon thundershowers, aligning with typical subtropical August patterns where average highs reach 32–34°C. These conditions, including high humidity, urban heat effects, and monsoon influences, drive the market’s emphasis on 32°C-or-higher (35.5%) alongside 30°C (23.5%) and 31°C (21.5%) outcomes. Recent model runs show limited intensification potential without a stronger steering ridge or reduced cloud cover, while historical analogs and climatological baselines underscore the narrow range of likely maxima absent typhoon impacts. Updated NHC or CWA guidance through the weekend will further refine these probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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