Recent forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models indicate largely sunny conditions and a warming trend into the weekend, positioning 30–31°C as the most probable daily high for Paris on August 8. Trader consensus, reflected in the 44% and 26.5% implied probabilities for those exact outcomes, aligns with ensemble guidance showing afternoon maxima near or slightly above 30°C under building high pressure. Earlier seasonal heatwave patterns across northern France provide climatological context for this late-summer warmth, though short-range model runs still carry typical uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C. Updated guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours from official agencies will likely refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Paris on August 8?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 8?
30°C 50%
31°C 29%
29°C 16%
32°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 8, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
16%
30°C
50%
31°C
29%
32°C
8%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 50%
31°C 29%
29°C 16%
32°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 8, 2026
25°C or below
$5 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C
$35 ปริมาณ
2%
28°C
$75 ปริมาณ
5%
29°C
$48 ปริมาณ
16%
30°C
$253 ปริมาณ
50%
31°C
$7 ปริมาณ
29%
32°C
$89 ปริมาณ
8%
33°C
$5 ปริมาณ
4%
34°C
$27 ปริมาณ
2%
35°C or higher
$10 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models indicate largely sunny conditions and a warming trend into the weekend, positioning 30–31°C as the most probable daily high for Paris on August 8. Trader consensus, reflected in the 44% and 26.5% implied probabilities for those exact outcomes, aligns with ensemble guidance showing afternoon maxima near or slightly above 30°C under building high pressure. Earlier seasonal heatwave patterns across northern France provide climatological context for this late-summer warmth, though short-range model runs still carry typical uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C. Updated guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours from official agencies will likely refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$559วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models indicate largely sunny conditions and a warming trend into the weekend, positioning 30–31°C as the most probable daily high for Paris on August 8. Trader consensus, reflected in the 44% and 26.5% implied probabilities for those exact outcomes, aligns with ensemble guidance showing afternoon maxima near or slightly above 30°C under building high pressure. Earlier seasonal heatwave patterns across northern France provide climatological context for this late-summer warmth, though short-range model runs still carry typical uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C. Updated guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours from official agencies will likely refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$559วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models indicate largely sunny conditions and a warming trend into the weekend, positioning 30–31°C as the most probable daily high for Paris on August 8. Trader consensus, reflected in the 44% and 26.5% implied probabilities for those exact outcomes, aligns with ensemble guidance showing afternoon maxima near or slightly above 30°C under building high pressure. Earlier seasonal heatwave patterns across northern France provide climatological context for this late-summer warmth, though short-range model runs still carry typical uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C. Updated guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours from official agencies will likely refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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