Recent official forecasts from the South African Weather Service indicate a high near 23°C for Cape Town on August 8, yet trader consensus clusters tightly around 16–18°C amid typical winter variability in the region's Mediterranean climate. Primary factors include a passing cold front expected to moderate daytime maxima through increased cloud cover, southerly winds, and possible light showers, which can suppress temperatures by several degrees compared to clearer conditions. Ensemble model outputs show modest spread due to uncertainties in frontal timing and orographic effects from Table Mountain, while historical August averages hover near 17°C. Upcoming SAWS updates and refined high-resolution runs will likely refine the exact maximum ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 8?
18°C 37%
17°C 35%
16°C 21%
19°C 12%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
2%
15°C
5%
16°C
21%
17°C
35%
18°C
37%
19°C
12%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
2%
18°C 37%
17°C 35%
16°C 21%
19°C 12%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
2%
15°C
5%
16°C
21%
17°C
35%
18°C
37%
19°C
12%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the South African Weather Service indicate a high near 23°C for Cape Town on August 8, yet trader consensus clusters tightly around 16–18°C amid typical winter variability in the region's Mediterranean climate. Primary factors include a passing cold front expected to moderate daytime maxima through increased cloud cover, southerly winds, and possible light showers, which can suppress temperatures by several degrees compared to clearer conditions. Ensemble model outputs show modest spread due to uncertainties in frontal timing and orographic effects from Table Mountain, while historical August averages hover near 17°C. Upcoming SAWS updates and refined high-resolution runs will likely refine the exact maximum ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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