Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to overnight lows of 27–29°C in Shanghai on August 8, driven by persistent high humidity above 70%, extensive cloud cover from incoming monsoon moisture, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. These conditions suppress the typical August diurnal drop, keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared to clearer historical baselines near 25°C. Forecasters note light northeasterly winds and dew points near 24°C further anchoring the range, with any brief clearing potentially allowing a dip toward 27°C while stronger rain would favor 29°C or higher. Traders have incorporated the latest 48-hour ensemble runs showing limited model spread, elevating the 28°C outcome to over 50% implied probability ahead of final verification.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 8?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 8?
28°C 50%
29°C 26%
26°C 14%
27°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 8, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
10%
26°C
14%
27°C
12%
28°C
50%
29°C
26%
30°C
5%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 50%
29°C 26%
26°C 14%
27°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 8, 2026
22°C or below
$232 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$81 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$177 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C
$167 ปริมาณ
10%
26°C
$157 ปริมาณ
14%
27°C
$185 ปริมาณ
12%
28°C
$1,177 ปริมาณ
50%
29°C
$2,369 ปริมาณ
26%
30°C
$681 ปริมาณ
5%
31°C
$239 ปริมาณ
3%
32°C or higher
$106 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to overnight lows of 27–29°C in Shanghai on August 8, driven by persistent high humidity above 70%, extensive cloud cover from incoming monsoon moisture, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. These conditions suppress the typical August diurnal drop, keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared to clearer historical baselines near 25°C. Forecasters note light northeasterly winds and dew points near 24°C further anchoring the range, with any brief clearing potentially allowing a dip toward 27°C while stronger rain would favor 29°C or higher. Traders have incorporated the latest 48-hour ensemble runs showing limited model spread, elevating the 28°C outcome to over 50% implied probability ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,571วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to overnight lows of 27–29°C in Shanghai on August 8, driven by persistent high humidity above 70%, extensive cloud cover from incoming monsoon moisture, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. These conditions suppress the typical August diurnal drop, keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared to clearer historical baselines near 25°C. Forecasters note light northeasterly winds and dew points near 24°C further anchoring the range, with any brief clearing potentially allowing a dip toward 27°C while stronger rain would favor 29°C or higher. Traders have incorporated the latest 48-hour ensemble runs showing limited model spread, elevating the 28°C outcome to over 50% implied probability ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,571วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to overnight lows of 27–29°C in Shanghai on August 8, driven by persistent high humidity above 70%, extensive cloud cover from incoming monsoon moisture, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling. These conditions suppress the typical August diurnal drop, keeping minimum temperatures elevated compared to clearer historical baselines near 25°C. Forecasters note light northeasterly winds and dew points near 24°C further anchoring the range, with any brief clearing potentially allowing a dip toward 27°C while stronger rain would favor 29°C or higher. Traders have incorporated the latest 48-hour ensemble runs showing limited model spread, elevating the 28°C outcome to over 50% implied probability ahead of final verification.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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