Latest ensemble forecasts from European and global models project Istanbul's maximum temperature on August 9 near 27–28 °C, consistent with the market's leading implied probabilities. A stable high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean and Marmara region supports warm advection with limited cloud cover and light northerly winds, while sea-surface temperatures around 24 °C provide modest moderation. Historical August climatology shows mean highs of 27–28 °C, placing current guidance near or slightly above the long-term baseline without indications of a pronounced heat anomaly. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak as the event window approaches.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 9?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 9?
27°C 51%
28°C 31%
26°C 12%
29°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 9, 2026
23°C or below
4%
24°C
3%
25°C
7%
26°C
12%
27°C
51%
28°C
31%
29°C
9%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
2%
27°C 51%
28°C 31%
26°C 12%
29°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 9, 2026
23°C or below
$12 ปริมาณ
4%
24°C
$12 ปริมาณ
3%
25°C
$1 ปริมาณ
7%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
12%
27°C
$5 ปริมาณ
51%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
31%
29°C
$6 ปริมาณ
9%
30°C
$5 ปริมาณ
4%
31°C
$16 ปริมาณ
2%
32°C
$12 ปริมาณ
2%
33°C or higher
$12 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from European and global models project Istanbul's maximum temperature on August 9 near 27–28 °C, consistent with the market's leading implied probabilities. A stable high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean and Marmara region supports warm advection with limited cloud cover and light northerly winds, while sea-surface temperatures around 24 °C provide modest moderation. Historical August climatology shows mean highs of 27–28 °C, placing current guidance near or slightly above the long-term baseline without indications of a pronounced heat anomaly. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak as the event window approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$81วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from European and global models project Istanbul's maximum temperature on August 9 near 27–28 °C, consistent with the market's leading implied probabilities. A stable high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean and Marmara region supports warm advection with limited cloud cover and light northerly winds, while sea-surface temperatures around 24 °C provide modest moderation. Historical August climatology shows mean highs of 27–28 °C, placing current guidance near or slightly above the long-term baseline without indications of a pronounced heat anomaly. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak as the event window approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$81วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from European and global models project Istanbul's maximum temperature on August 9 near 27–28 °C, consistent with the market's leading implied probabilities. A stable high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean and Marmara region supports warm advection with limited cloud cover and light northerly winds, while sea-surface temperatures around 24 °C provide modest moderation. Historical August climatology shows mean highs of 27–28 °C, placing current guidance near or slightly above the long-term baseline without indications of a pronounced heat anomaly. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak as the event window approaches.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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