Current ensemble forecasts for Beijing on August 7 indicate a daytime high centered around 35–36°C, with market-implied odds clustered tightly across 35°C, 36°C, and 37°C reflecting modest model spread. Key drivers include the lingering influence of the western Pacific subtropical high, which sustains warm advection, alongside variable afternoon convective clouds or isolated thunderstorms that can trim peak readings by 1–2°C. Urban heat island effects and boundary-layer moisture further modulate outcomes, while short-range runs from CMA and global models show limited divergence on steering patterns. New 00Z and 12Z model updates over the next 48 hours, plus official Beijing Meteorological Service guidance, will likely refine the most probable maximum before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Beijing on August 7?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 7?
35°C 26%
36°C 26%
37°C 22%
34°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 7, 2026
31°C or below
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
3%
34°C
12%
35°C
26%
36°C
26%
37°C
22%
38°C
12%
39°C
5%
40°C
2%
41°C or higher
2%
35°C 26%
36°C 26%
37°C 22%
34°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 7, 2026
31°C or below
$13 ปริมาณ
1%
32°C
$387 ปริมาณ
3%
33°C
$26 ปริมาณ
3%
34°C
$73 ปริมาณ
12%
35°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
36°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
37°C
$16 ปริมาณ
22%
38°C
$71 ปริมาณ
12%
39°C
$30 ปริมาณ
5%
40°C
$10 ปริมาณ
2%
41°C or higher
$8 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts for Beijing on August 7 indicate a daytime high centered around 35–36°C, with market-implied odds clustered tightly across 35°C, 36°C, and 37°C reflecting modest model spread. Key drivers include the lingering influence of the western Pacific subtropical high, which sustains warm advection, alongside variable afternoon convective clouds or isolated thunderstorms that can trim peak readings by 1–2°C. Urban heat island effects and boundary-layer moisture further modulate outcomes, while short-range runs from CMA and global models show limited divergence on steering patterns. New 00Z and 12Z model updates over the next 48 hours, plus official Beijing Meteorological Service guidance, will likely refine the most probable maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$634วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts for Beijing on August 7 indicate a daytime high centered around 35–36°C, with market-implied odds clustered tightly across 35°C, 36°C, and 37°C reflecting modest model spread. Key drivers include the lingering influence of the western Pacific subtropical high, which sustains warm advection, alongside variable afternoon convective clouds or isolated thunderstorms that can trim peak readings by 1–2°C. Urban heat island effects and boundary-layer moisture further modulate outcomes, while short-range runs from CMA and global models show limited divergence on steering patterns. New 00Z and 12Z model updates over the next 48 hours, plus official Beijing Meteorological Service guidance, will likely refine the most probable maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$634วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts for Beijing on August 7 indicate a daytime high centered around 35–36°C, with market-implied odds clustered tightly across 35°C, 36°C, and 37°C reflecting modest model spread. Key drivers include the lingering influence of the western Pacific subtropical high, which sustains warm advection, alongside variable afternoon convective clouds or isolated thunderstorms that can trim peak readings by 1–2°C. Urban heat island effects and boundary-layer moisture further modulate outcomes, while short-range runs from CMA and global models show limited divergence on steering patterns. New 00Z and 12Z model updates over the next 48 hours, plus official Beijing Meteorological Service guidance, will likely refine the most probable maximum before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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