Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a maximum of 32°C for Tokyo on August 6, aligning with the market's leading 44.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. Persistent above-normal summer temperatures across Honshu, driven by broader atmospheric patterns and seasonal warming trends, support this central expectation, while model consensus and typical daily variability around the 31.8°C August normal explain clustering on 31–33°C. Recent JMA three-day outlooks and the agency's emphasis on continued heat have reinforced trader positioning, though minor forecast adjustments from evolving high-pressure systems or localized cloud cover could shift resolution near the close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 6?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 6?
32°C 45%
31°C 27%
33°C 20%
34°C 5%
ใหม่
$20,744 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$20,744 ปริมาณ
Aug 6, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
27%
32°C
45%
33°C
20%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 45%
31°C 27%
33°C 20%
34°C 5%
ใหม่
$20,744 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$20,744 ปริมาณ
Aug 6, 2026
26°C or below
$1,051 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$1,173 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$1,819 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$1,712 ปริมาณ
2%
30°C
$1,778 ปริมาณ
4%
31°C
$3,433 ปริมาณ
27%
32°C
$1,708 ปริมาณ
45%
33°C
$2,127 ปริมาณ
20%
34°C
$1,704 ปริมาณ
5%
35°C
$2,649 ปริมาณ
1%
36°C or higher
$1,589 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a maximum of 32°C for Tokyo on August 6, aligning with the market's leading 44.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. Persistent above-normal summer temperatures across Honshu, driven by broader atmospheric patterns and seasonal warming trends, support this central expectation, while model consensus and typical daily variability around the 31.8°C August normal explain clustering on 31–33°C. Recent JMA three-day outlooks and the agency's emphasis on continued heat have reinforced trader positioning, though minor forecast adjustments from evolving high-pressure systems or localized cloud cover could shift resolution near the close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,744วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a maximum of 32°C for Tokyo on August 6, aligning with the market's leading 44.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. Persistent above-normal summer temperatures across Honshu, driven by broader atmospheric patterns and seasonal warming trends, support this central expectation, while model consensus and typical daily variability around the 31.8°C August normal explain clustering on 31–33°C. Recent JMA three-day outlooks and the agency's emphasis on continued heat have reinforced trader positioning, though minor forecast adjustments from evolving high-pressure systems or localized cloud cover could shift resolution near the close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,744วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a maximum of 32°C for Tokyo on August 6, aligning with the market's leading 44.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. Persistent above-normal summer temperatures across Honshu, driven by broader atmospheric patterns and seasonal warming trends, support this central expectation, while model consensus and typical daily variability around the 31.8°C August normal explain clustering on 31–33°C. Recent JMA three-day outlooks and the agency's emphasis on continued heat have reinforced trader positioning, though minor forecast adjustments from evolving high-pressure systems or localized cloud cover could shift resolution near the close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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