Recent forecasts for Shanghai on August 9 point to moderating conditions under a subtropical high with scattered showers or thunderstorms possible, limiting peak heating despite the ongoing summer regime. Official models and climatological baselines place early-August daily maxima near 31–32 °C, yet increased cloud cover, northeasterly flow, and convective activity are expected to cap readings around 29–30 °C on the day. Trader sentiment, reflected in the closely matched 36 % and 31.5 % implied probabilities for those two outcomes, incorporates this uncertainty around exact timing of any rain and urban heat-island effects at official stations. Historical analogs show similar late-week cooling episodes during prolonged heat periods, with resolution depending on verified maximum observations rather than model guidance alone.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 9?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 9?
29°C 36%
30°C 32%
31°C 13%
28°C 13%
ใหม่
$12,787 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$12,787 ปริมาณ
Aug 9, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
3%
28°C
13%
29°C
36%
30°C
32%
31°C
13%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 36%
30°C 32%
31°C 13%
28°C 13%
ใหม่
$12,787 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$12,787 ปริมาณ
Aug 9, 2026
24°C or below
$4,864 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C
$2,519 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C
$338 ปริมาณ
4%
27°C
$672 ปริมาณ
3%
28°C
$623 ปริมาณ
13%
29°C
$1,637 ปริมาณ
36%
30°C
$743 ปริมาณ
32%
31°C
$953 ปริมาณ
13%
32°C
$120 ปริมาณ
3%
33°C
$158 ปริมาณ
1%
34°C or higher
$160 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shanghai on August 9 point to moderating conditions under a subtropical high with scattered showers or thunderstorms possible, limiting peak heating despite the ongoing summer regime. Official models and climatological baselines place early-August daily maxima near 31–32 °C, yet increased cloud cover, northeasterly flow, and convective activity are expected to cap readings around 29–30 °C on the day. Trader sentiment, reflected in the closely matched 36 % and 31.5 % implied probabilities for those two outcomes, incorporates this uncertainty around exact timing of any rain and urban heat-island effects at official stations. Historical analogs show similar late-week cooling episodes during prolonged heat periods, with resolution depending on verified maximum observations rather than model guidance alone.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,787วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shanghai on August 9 point to moderating conditions under a subtropical high with scattered showers or thunderstorms possible, limiting peak heating despite the ongoing summer regime. Official models and climatological baselines place early-August daily maxima near 31–32 °C, yet increased cloud cover, northeasterly flow, and convective activity are expected to cap readings around 29–30 °C on the day. Trader sentiment, reflected in the closely matched 36 % and 31.5 % implied probabilities for those two outcomes, incorporates this uncertainty around exact timing of any rain and urban heat-island effects at official stations. Historical analogs show similar late-week cooling episodes during prolonged heat periods, with resolution depending on verified maximum observations rather than model guidance alone.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,787วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shanghai on August 9 point to moderating conditions under a subtropical high with scattered showers or thunderstorms possible, limiting peak heating despite the ongoing summer regime. Official models and climatological baselines place early-August daily maxima near 31–32 °C, yet increased cloud cover, northeasterly flow, and convective activity are expected to cap readings around 29–30 °C on the day. Trader sentiment, reflected in the closely matched 36 % and 31.5 % implied probabilities for those two outcomes, incorporates this uncertainty around exact timing of any rain and urban heat-island effects at official stations. Historical analogs show similar late-week cooling episodes during prolonged heat periods, with resolution depending on verified maximum observations rather than model guidance alone.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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