Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance, updated within the past 48 hours, centers the most likely maximum temperature for Paris on August 9 near 33–34 °C under a building subtropical ridge, producing the close market split between these two outcomes. High-pressure subsidence supports surface heating and limited cloud cover during peak insolation hours, yet model spread arises from subtle differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, afternoon convective initiation, and the precise timing of any weak frontal moisture. Historical August climatology places typical daily maxima around 25–27 °C, so current guidance reflects a modest warm anomaly. Traders are watching the next high-resolution model runs and Météo-France vigilance updates for refinements ahead of the Sunday resolution window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Paris on August 9?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 9?
34°C 34%
33°C 30%
32°C 16%
35°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 9, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
16%
33°C
30%
34°C
34%
35°C
14%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 34%
33°C 30%
32°C 16%
35°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 9, 2026
28°C or below
$1,131 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$18 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$10 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$85 ปริมาณ
5%
32°C
$430 ปริมาณ
16%
33°C
$391 ปริมาณ
30%
34°C
$1,010 ปริมาณ
34%
35°C
$251 ปริมาณ
14%
36°C
$35 ปริมาณ
2%
37°C
$42 ปริมาณ
1%
38°C or higher
$66 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance, updated within the past 48 hours, centers the most likely maximum temperature for Paris on August 9 near 33–34 °C under a building subtropical ridge, producing the close market split between these two outcomes. High-pressure subsidence supports surface heating and limited cloud cover during peak insolation hours, yet model spread arises from subtle differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, afternoon convective initiation, and the precise timing of any weak frontal moisture. Historical August climatology places typical daily maxima around 25–27 °C, so current guidance reflects a modest warm anomaly. Traders are watching the next high-resolution model runs and Météo-France vigilance updates for refinements ahead of the Sunday resolution window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,469วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance, updated within the past 48 hours, centers the most likely maximum temperature for Paris on August 9 near 33–34 °C under a building subtropical ridge, producing the close market split between these two outcomes. High-pressure subsidence supports surface heating and limited cloud cover during peak insolation hours, yet model spread arises from subtle differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, afternoon convective initiation, and the precise timing of any weak frontal moisture. Historical August climatology places typical daily maxima around 25–27 °C, so current guidance reflects a modest warm anomaly. Traders are watching the next high-resolution model runs and Météo-France vigilance updates for refinements ahead of the Sunday resolution window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,469วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance, updated within the past 48 hours, centers the most likely maximum temperature for Paris on August 9 near 33–34 °C under a building subtropical ridge, producing the close market split between these two outcomes. High-pressure subsidence supports surface heating and limited cloud cover during peak insolation hours, yet model spread arises from subtle differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, afternoon convective initiation, and the precise timing of any weak frontal moisture. Historical August climatology places typical daily maxima around 25–27 °C, so current guidance reflects a modest warm anomaly. Traders are watching the next high-resolution model runs and Météo-France vigilance updates for refinements ahead of the Sunday resolution window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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