Persistent above-average warmth across southeastern Brazil, driven by warmer air masses and stable high-pressure subsidence, positions 28–30°C as the leading outcomes for São Paulo’s August 8 maximum, with trader consensus reflected in the 37.5% implied probability on 28°C. August climatology features typical highs near 23–25°C under dry winter conditions, but recent model runs and observational trends indicate a mild positive anomaly that elevates chances for the upper end of the normal range. Key variables include steering patterns and any intensification of subsidence, which could push readings toward 30°C or limit them near 27°C; updated INMET or ECMWF guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will refine resolution criteria tied to official station maxima.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 8?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 8?
28°C 38%
29°C 27%
30°C 17%
27°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 8, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
14%
28°C
38%
29°C
27%
30°C
17%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
2%
28°C 38%
29°C 27%
30°C 17%
27°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 8, 2026
22°C or below
$127 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$192 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$10 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C
$47 ปริมาณ
2%
26°C
$137 ปริมาณ
4%
27°C
$412 ปริมาณ
14%
28°C
$224 ปริมาณ
38%
29°C
$167 ปริมาณ
27%
30°C
$324 ปริมาณ
17%
31°C
$71 ปริมาณ
3%
32°C or higher
$77 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent above-average warmth across southeastern Brazil, driven by warmer air masses and stable high-pressure subsidence, positions 28–30°C as the leading outcomes for São Paulo’s August 8 maximum, with trader consensus reflected in the 37.5% implied probability on 28°C. August climatology features typical highs near 23–25°C under dry winter conditions, but recent model runs and observational trends indicate a mild positive anomaly that elevates chances for the upper end of the normal range. Key variables include steering patterns and any intensification of subsidence, which could push readings toward 30°C or limit them near 27°C; updated INMET or ECMWF guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will refine resolution criteria tied to official station maxima.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,786วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent above-average warmth across southeastern Brazil, driven by warmer air masses and stable high-pressure subsidence, positions 28–30°C as the leading outcomes for São Paulo’s August 8 maximum, with trader consensus reflected in the 37.5% implied probability on 28°C. August climatology features typical highs near 23–25°C under dry winter conditions, but recent model runs and observational trends indicate a mild positive anomaly that elevates chances for the upper end of the normal range. Key variables include steering patterns and any intensification of subsidence, which could push readings toward 30°C or limit them near 27°C; updated INMET or ECMWF guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will refine resolution criteria tied to official station maxima.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,786วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent above-average warmth across southeastern Brazil, driven by warmer air masses and stable high-pressure subsidence, positions 28–30°C as the leading outcomes for São Paulo’s August 8 maximum, with trader consensus reflected in the 37.5% implied probability on 28°C. August climatology features typical highs near 23–25°C under dry winter conditions, but recent model runs and observational trends indicate a mild positive anomaly that elevates chances for the upper end of the normal range. Key variables include steering patterns and any intensification of subsidence, which could push readings toward 30°C or limit them near 27°C; updated INMET or ECMWF guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will refine resolution criteria tied to official station maxima.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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