Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and AccuWeather project a daytime maximum near 32–34°C for coastal Tel Aviv on August 10 under clear skies, moderate northerly flow, and typical Mediterranean summer insolation. Sea-breeze moderation and the region’s climatological baseline around 32°C support the market’s tight clustering on 34°C (49.5%) and 35°C (29.5%), with lower odds for 33°C reflecting minor model spreads on peak timing and afternoon mixing. No significant heatwave signals or anomalous warming trends appear in current runs, keeping extremes above 36°C improbable while aligning trader consensus with historical August patterns and official guidance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 10?
34°C 50%
35°C 30%
33°C 15%
36°C 5%
31°C or below
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
15%
34°C
50%
35°C
30%
36°C
5%
37°C
2%
38°C
3%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 50%
35°C 30%
33°C 15%
36°C 5%
31°C or below
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
15%
34°C
50%
35°C
30%
36°C
5%
37°C
2%
38°C
3%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and AccuWeather project a daytime maximum near 32–34°C for coastal Tel Aviv on August 10 under clear skies, moderate northerly flow, and typical Mediterranean summer insolation. Sea-breeze moderation and the region’s climatological baseline around 32°C support the market’s tight clustering on 34°C (49.5%) and 35°C (29.5%), with lower odds for 33°C reflecting minor model spreads on peak timing and afternoon mixing. No significant heatwave signals or anomalous warming trends appear in current runs, keeping extremes above 36°C improbable while aligning trader consensus with historical August patterns and official guidance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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