Current forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Warsaw highs near 30–32°C on August 10, driven by a strengthening high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and reduced cloud cover. This setup favors surface heating under clear to partly cloudy skies, with daytime maximum temperatures modulated by light southerly flow and low-level moisture levels around 40–50% relative humidity. Ensemble spreads remain modest but highlight sensitivity to afternoon convective initiation, which could cap peaks near 30°C, versus stronger insolation pushing toward 32°C. Trader sentiment clusters around these values as model consensus narrows with the two-day lead time, while historical August climatology for the region centers near 24–26°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 10?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 10?
30°C 31%
31°C 31%
32°C 20%
29°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 10, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
9%
30°C
31%
31°C
31%
32°C
20%
33°C
9%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 31%
31°C 31%
32°C 20%
29°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 10, 2026
26°C or below
$93 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C
$164 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$170 ปริมาณ
3%
29°C
$493 ปริมาณ
9%
30°C
$513 ปริมาณ
31%
31°C
$102 ปริมาณ
31%
32°C
$377 ปริมาณ
20%
33°C
$668 ปริมาณ
9%
34°C
$48 ปริมาณ
1%
35°C
$61 ปริมาณ
<1%
36°C or higher
$125 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Warsaw highs near 30–32°C on August 10, driven by a strengthening high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and reduced cloud cover. This setup favors surface heating under clear to partly cloudy skies, with daytime maximum temperatures modulated by light southerly flow and low-level moisture levels around 40–50% relative humidity. Ensemble spreads remain modest but highlight sensitivity to afternoon convective initiation, which could cap peaks near 30°C, versus stronger insolation pushing toward 32°C. Trader sentiment clusters around these values as model consensus narrows with the two-day lead time, while historical August climatology for the region centers near 24–26°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,815วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Warsaw highs near 30–32°C on August 10, driven by a strengthening high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and reduced cloud cover. This setup favors surface heating under clear to partly cloudy skies, with daytime maximum temperatures modulated by light southerly flow and low-level moisture levels around 40–50% relative humidity. Ensemble spreads remain modest but highlight sensitivity to afternoon convective initiation, which could cap peaks near 30°C, versus stronger insolation pushing toward 32°C. Trader sentiment clusters around these values as model consensus narrows with the two-day lead time, while historical August climatology for the region centers near 24–26°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,815วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Warsaw highs near 30–32°C on August 10, driven by a strengthening high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and reduced cloud cover. This setup favors surface heating under clear to partly cloudy skies, with daytime maximum temperatures modulated by light southerly flow and low-level moisture levels around 40–50% relative humidity. Ensemble spreads remain modest but highlight sensitivity to afternoon convective initiation, which could cap peaks near 30°C, versus stronger insolation pushing toward 32°C. Trader sentiment clusters around these values as model consensus narrows with the two-day lead time, while historical August climatology for the region centers near 24–26°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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