Recent forecasts from AEMET and other models indicate Madrid highs near 35–37°C on August 9, 2026, under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow that favors strong daytime heating with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Madrid’s continental climate amplifies these conditions, with typical August maxima around 33–34°C serving as a baseline; current runs show modest positive anomalies consistent with the broader warm 2026 summer pattern. Trader emphasis on 36°C and 37°C reflects this model consensus and the low likelihood of significant cooling or intensification ahead of the short two-day window, though slight forecast revisions from updated runs could still shift probabilities within the 35–38°C range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Madrid on August 9?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 9?
36°C 47%
37°C 29%
35°C 9%
38°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 9, 2026
32°C or below
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
3%
35°C
9%
36°C
47%
37°C
29%
38°C
6%
39°C
1%
40°C
2%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
36°C 47%
37°C 29%
35°C 9%
38°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 9, 2026
32°C or below
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
33°C
$65 ปริมาณ
1%
34°C
$9 ปริมาณ
3%
35°C
$348 ปริมาณ
9%
36°C
$187 ปริมาณ
47%
37°C
$357 ปริมาณ
29%
38°C
$21 ปริมาณ
6%
39°C
$182 ปริมาณ
1%
40°C
$23 ปริมาณ
2%
41°C
$11 ปริมาณ
<1%
42°C or higher
$26 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from AEMET and other models indicate Madrid highs near 35–37°C on August 9, 2026, under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow that favors strong daytime heating with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Madrid’s continental climate amplifies these conditions, with typical August maxima around 33–34°C serving as a baseline; current runs show modest positive anomalies consistent with the broader warm 2026 summer pattern. Trader emphasis on 36°C and 37°C reflects this model consensus and the low likelihood of significant cooling or intensification ahead of the short two-day window, though slight forecast revisions from updated runs could still shift probabilities within the 35–38°C range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,116วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from AEMET and other models indicate Madrid highs near 35–37°C on August 9, 2026, under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow that favors strong daytime heating with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Madrid’s continental climate amplifies these conditions, with typical August maxima around 33–34°C serving as a baseline; current runs show modest positive anomalies consistent with the broader warm 2026 summer pattern. Trader emphasis on 36°C and 37°C reflects this model consensus and the low likelihood of significant cooling or intensification ahead of the short two-day window, though slight forecast revisions from updated runs could still shift probabilities within the 35–38°C range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,116วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from AEMET and other models indicate Madrid highs near 35–37°C on August 9, 2026, under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow that favors strong daytime heating with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Madrid’s continental climate amplifies these conditions, with typical August maxima around 33–34°C serving as a baseline; current runs show modest positive anomalies consistent with the broader warm 2026 summer pattern. Trader emphasis on 36°C and 37°C reflects this model consensus and the low likelihood of significant cooling or intensification ahead of the short two-day window, though slight forecast revisions from updated runs could still shift probabilities within the 35–38°C range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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