Current forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus guidance point to a daily high near 35–37°C on August 9, driven by typical midsummer subtropical conditions with above-normal seasonal temperatures expected through October. Recent multi-model runs show limited cloud cover and light winds favoring daytime heating, though scattered showers could moderate peaks. Historical August averages hover around 31–32°C, making the implied probabilities for 35°C (40.5%) and 36°C (27.5%) reflect trader assessment of these warmer anomalies amid forecast uncertainty. Updated regional guidance and any typhoon influences in the coming 48 hours represent the main variables that could shift resolution thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 9?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 9?
35°C 41%
36°C 28%
37°C 14%
34°C 13%
ใหม่
$15,827 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$15,827 ปริมาณ
Aug 9, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
5%
34°C
13%
35°C
41%
36°C
28%
37°C
14%
38°C
4%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 41%
36°C 28%
37°C 14%
34°C 13%
ใหม่
$15,827 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$15,827 ปริมาณ
Aug 9, 2026
31°C or below
$1,033 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$3,198 ปริมาณ
1%
33°C
$1,438 ปริมาณ
5%
34°C
$1,406 ปริมาณ
13%
35°C
$2,284 ปริมาณ
41%
36°C
$1,726 ปริมาณ
28%
37°C
$1,610 ปริมาณ
14%
38°C
$1,881 ปริมาณ
4%
39°C
$453 ปริมาณ
<1%
40°C
$382 ปริมาณ
<1%
41°C or higher
$415 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus guidance point to a daily high near 35–37°C on August 9, driven by typical midsummer subtropical conditions with above-normal seasonal temperatures expected through October. Recent multi-model runs show limited cloud cover and light winds favoring daytime heating, though scattered showers could moderate peaks. Historical August averages hover around 31–32°C, making the implied probabilities for 35°C (40.5%) and 36°C (27.5%) reflect trader assessment of these warmer anomalies amid forecast uncertainty. Updated regional guidance and any typhoon influences in the coming 48 hours represent the main variables that could shift resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,827วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus guidance point to a daily high near 35–37°C on August 9, driven by typical midsummer subtropical conditions with above-normal seasonal temperatures expected through October. Recent multi-model runs show limited cloud cover and light winds favoring daytime heating, though scattered showers could moderate peaks. Historical August averages hover around 31–32°C, making the implied probabilities for 35°C (40.5%) and 36°C (27.5%) reflect trader assessment of these warmer anomalies amid forecast uncertainty. Updated regional guidance and any typhoon influences in the coming 48 hours represent the main variables that could shift resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,827วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus guidance point to a daily high near 35–37°C on August 9, driven by typical midsummer subtropical conditions with above-normal seasonal temperatures expected through October. Recent multi-model runs show limited cloud cover and light winds favoring daytime heating, though scattered showers could moderate peaks. Historical August averages hover around 31–32°C, making the implied probabilities for 35°C (40.5%) and 36°C (27.5%) reflect trader assessment of these warmer anomalies amid forecast uncertainty. Updated regional guidance and any typhoon influences in the coming 48 hours represent the main variables that could shift resolution thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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