Recent forecast guidance and seasonal climatology drive trader consensus toward a São Paulo high of 24–26°C on August 9, with 24°C-or-below holding the highest implied probability. Mid-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere typically produce average daily maxima near 24°C, and an extratropical cyclone plus cold front passage through early August has reinforced cooler southerly flow and limited diurnal warming. Model spreads between GFS and ECMWF runs center on modest afternoon recovery to the mid-20s, while factors such as exact cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any residual frontal moisture create the narrow probability gradients across individual degree bins. Updated INMET briefings and the next model cycle ahead of the 24-hour verification window remain the key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 9?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 9?
24°C or below 29%
25°C 24%
26°C 20%
28°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 9, 2026
24°C or below
29%
25°C
24%
26°C
20%
27°C
12%
28°C
14%
29°C
8%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
<1%
24°C or below 29%
25°C 24%
26°C 20%
28°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 9, 2026
24°C or below
$466 ปริมาณ
29%
25°C
$820 ปริมาณ
24%
26°C
$241 ปริมาณ
20%
27°C
$178 ปริมาณ
12%
28°C
$146 ปริมาณ
14%
29°C
$191 ปริมาณ
8%
30°C
$85 ปริมาณ
4%
31°C
$293 ปริมาณ
2%
32°C
$12 ปริมาณ
5%
33°C
$12 ปริมาณ
4%
34°C or higher
$60 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance and seasonal climatology drive trader consensus toward a São Paulo high of 24–26°C on August 9, with 24°C-or-below holding the highest implied probability. Mid-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere typically produce average daily maxima near 24°C, and an extratropical cyclone plus cold front passage through early August has reinforced cooler southerly flow and limited diurnal warming. Model spreads between GFS and ECMWF runs center on modest afternoon recovery to the mid-20s, while factors such as exact cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any residual frontal moisture create the narrow probability gradients across individual degree bins. Updated INMET briefings and the next model cycle ahead of the 24-hour verification window remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 7, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,505วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 9:01 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance and seasonal climatology drive trader consensus toward a São Paulo high of 24–26°C on August 9, with 24°C-or-below holding the highest implied probability. Mid-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere typically produce average daily maxima near 24°C, and an extratropical cyclone plus cold front passage through early August has reinforced cooler southerly flow and limited diurnal warming. Model spreads between GFS and ECMWF runs center on modest afternoon recovery to the mid-20s, while factors such as exact cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any residual frontal moisture create the narrow probability gradients across individual degree bins. Updated INMET briefings and the next model cycle ahead of the 24-hour verification window remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,505วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 9:01 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance and seasonal climatology drive trader consensus toward a São Paulo high of 24–26°C on August 9, with 24°C-or-below holding the highest implied probability. Mid-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere typically produce average daily maxima near 24°C, and an extratropical cyclone plus cold front passage through early August has reinforced cooler southerly flow and limited diurnal warming. Model spreads between GFS and ECMWF runs center on modest afternoon recovery to the mid-20s, while factors such as exact cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any residual frontal moisture create the narrow probability gradients across individual degree bins. Updated INMET briefings and the next model cycle ahead of the 24-hour verification window remain the key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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