Forecast models from NOAA and other agencies indicate partly cloudy conditions and a strengthening Bermuda High ridge favoring surface heating across the Northeast, positioning the highest temperature in New York City on August 9 near the low-to-mid 90s°F and explaining the market's concentration on 92-93°F (40.5%) and adjacent bins. This aligns with the month's above-average temperature outlook, where seasonal norms of 83°F are exceeded amid lingering summer humidity and limited cloud cover or precipitation that could otherwise suppress maxima. Ensemble guidance shows some spread due to variable steering flow and potential afternoon convection, keeping 90-95°F brackets dominant while lower or higher extremes remain low-probability outliers. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine these implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in NYC on August 9?
92-93°F 41%
90-91°F 28%
94-95°F 25%
88-89°F 4%
$16,237 ปริมาณ
$16,237 ปริมาณ
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
28%
92-93°F
41%
94-95°F
25%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
100°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 41%
90-91°F 28%
94-95°F 25%
88-89°F 4%
$16,237 ปริมาณ
$16,237 ปริมาณ
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
28%
92-93°F
41%
94-95°F
25%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
100°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 7, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from NOAA and other agencies indicate partly cloudy conditions and a strengthening Bermuda High ridge favoring surface heating across the Northeast, positioning the highest temperature in New York City on August 9 near the low-to-mid 90s°F and explaining the market's concentration on 92-93°F (40.5%) and adjacent bins. This aligns with the month's above-average temperature outlook, where seasonal norms of 83°F are exceeded amid lingering summer humidity and limited cloud cover or precipitation that could otherwise suppress maxima. Ensemble guidance shows some spread due to variable steering flow and potential afternoon convection, keeping 90-95°F brackets dominant while lower or higher extremes remain low-probability outliers. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine these implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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