A strong cold front supported by an upper-level trough is forecast to reach the southwestern Cape over the August 8–11 weekend, bringing cooler, cloudier, and potentially showery conditions that limit daytime heating in Cape Town. Official guidance and recent model runs point to maximum temperatures clustered around 18–20 °C, consistent with typical mid-winter values near 17 °C and the market’s tight distribution among those outcomes. Post-frontal onshore flow and residual moisture further suppress warming, while any brief clearing could allow a marginal push toward 21 °C. Updated South African Weather Service and global model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalyst for shifts in implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 11?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 11?
19°C 54%
20°C 38%
18°C 19%
21°C 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 11, 2026
15°C or below
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
10%
18°C
19%
19°C
35%
20°C
24%
21°C
16%
22°C
11%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
1%
19°C 54%
20°C 38%
18°C 19%
21°C 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 11, 2026
15°C or below
$10 ปริมาณ
2%
16°C
$134 ปริมาณ
2%
17°C
$66 ปริมาณ
10%
18°C
$20 ปริมาณ
19%
19°C
$141 ปริมาณ
35%
20°C
$28 ปริมาณ
24%
21°C
$27 ปริมาณ
16%
22°C
$10 ปริมาณ
11%
23°C
$25 ปริมาณ
2%
24°C
$291 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C or higher
$46 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strong cold front supported by an upper-level trough is forecast to reach the southwestern Cape over the August 8–11 weekend, bringing cooler, cloudier, and potentially showery conditions that limit daytime heating in Cape Town. Official guidance and recent model runs point to maximum temperatures clustered around 18–20 °C, consistent with typical mid-winter values near 17 °C and the market’s tight distribution among those outcomes. Post-frontal onshore flow and residual moisture further suppress warming, while any brief clearing could allow a marginal push toward 21 °C. Updated South African Weather Service and global model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalyst for shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$798วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strong cold front supported by an upper-level trough is forecast to reach the southwestern Cape over the August 8–11 weekend, bringing cooler, cloudier, and potentially showery conditions that limit daytime heating in Cape Town. Official guidance and recent model runs point to maximum temperatures clustered around 18–20 °C, consistent with typical mid-winter values near 17 °C and the market’s tight distribution among those outcomes. Post-frontal onshore flow and residual moisture further suppress warming, while any brief clearing could allow a marginal push toward 21 °C. Updated South African Weather Service and global model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalyst for shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$798วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...A strong cold front supported by an upper-level trough is forecast to reach the southwestern Cape over the August 8–11 weekend, bringing cooler, cloudier, and potentially showery conditions that limit daytime heating in Cape Town. Official guidance and recent model runs point to maximum temperatures clustered around 18–20 °C, consistent with typical mid-winter values near 17 °C and the market’s tight distribution among those outcomes. Post-frontal onshore flow and residual moisture further suppress warming, while any brief clearing could allow a marginal push toward 21 °C. Updated South African Weather Service and global model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalyst for shifts in implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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