Hong Kong Observatory forecasts place the maximum temperature around 34°C in urban areas today under a southwesterly airstream, with isolated showers and locally higher readings possible in the New Territories, aligning with trader emphasis on the 34°C outcome at 50.5% implied probability. Recent extremely hot conditions driven by subsiding air from Tropical Cyclone Dolphin, which produced a record 36.9°C on August 9, have begun to moderate slightly, while seasonal outlooks from the Observatory indicate normal-to-above-normal August temperatures overall. Official observations will resolve the market based on the daily peak at the Hong Kong Observatory station, with model consensus and real-time monitoring updates likely to refine probabilities as the day advances.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 12?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 12?
34°C 51%
35°C 25%
33°C 23%
32°C 5%
ใหม่
$59,770 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$59,770 ปริมาณ
Aug 12, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
5%
33°C
23%
34°C
51%
35°C
25%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 51%
35°C 25%
33°C 23%
32°C 5%
ใหม่
$59,770 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$59,770 ปริมาณ
Aug 12, 2026
28°C or below
$1,194 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$1,260 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$5,308 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$3,698 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$11,158 ปริมาณ
5%
33°C
$7,130 ปริมาณ
23%
34°C
$8,315 ปริมาณ
51%
35°C
$6,871 ปริมาณ
25%
36°C
$8,772 ปริมาณ
1%
37°C
$4,655 ปริมาณ
1%
38°C or higher
$1,409 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts place the maximum temperature around 34°C in urban areas today under a southwesterly airstream, with isolated showers and locally higher readings possible in the New Territories, aligning with trader emphasis on the 34°C outcome at 50.5% implied probability. Recent extremely hot conditions driven by subsiding air from Tropical Cyclone Dolphin, which produced a record 36.9°C on August 9, have begun to moderate slightly, while seasonal outlooks from the Observatory indicate normal-to-above-normal August temperatures overall. Official observations will resolve the market based on the daily peak at the Hong Kong Observatory station, with model consensus and real-time monitoring updates likely to refine probabilities as the day advances.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$59,770วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts place the maximum temperature around 34°C in urban areas today under a southwesterly airstream, with isolated showers and locally higher readings possible in the New Territories, aligning with trader emphasis on the 34°C outcome at 50.5% implied probability. Recent extremely hot conditions driven by subsiding air from Tropical Cyclone Dolphin, which produced a record 36.9°C on August 9, have begun to moderate slightly, while seasonal outlooks from the Observatory indicate normal-to-above-normal August temperatures overall. Official observations will resolve the market based on the daily peak at the Hong Kong Observatory station, with model consensus and real-time monitoring updates likely to refine probabilities as the day advances.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$59,770วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory forecasts place the maximum temperature around 34°C in urban areas today under a southwesterly airstream, with isolated showers and locally higher readings possible in the New Territories, aligning with trader emphasis on the 34°C outcome at 50.5% implied probability. Recent extremely hot conditions driven by subsiding air from Tropical Cyclone Dolphin, which produced a record 36.9°C on August 9, have begun to moderate slightly, while seasonal outlooks from the Observatory indicate normal-to-above-normal August temperatures overall. Official observations will resolve the market based on the daily peak at the Hong Kong Observatory station, with model consensus and real-time monitoring updates likely to refine probabilities as the day advances.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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