Recent forecast consensus from sources including the BBC and Time and Date places Warsaw’s August 13 high near 24–25 °C under sunny intervals or overcast skies with light north-westerly winds, aligning with typical late-summer patterns and the absence of strong warm advection. This positions 24 °C as the modal outcome in trader pricing, followed closely by 25 °C and 23 °C, reflecting model agreement on modest daytime heating without significant synoptic forcing. Climatological averages for mid-August hover around 23–25 °C, and current guidance shows no departure from baseline conditions that would support higher extremes. Updated model runs and agency briefings in the coming 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of the daily maximum observation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 13?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 13?
24°C 44%
25°C 27%
23°C 24%
22°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 13, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
6%
23°C
24%
24°C
44%
25°C
27%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 44%
25°C 27%
23°C 24%
22°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 13, 2026
20°C or below
$108 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$482 ปริมาณ
1%
22°C
$364 ปริมาณ
6%
23°C
$287 ปริมาณ
24%
24°C
$530 ปริมาณ
44%
25°C
$339 ปริมาณ
27%
26°C
$103 ปริมาณ
4%
27°C
$33 ปริมาณ
2%
28°C
$75 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$186 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C or higher
$210 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from sources including the BBC and Time and Date places Warsaw’s August 13 high near 24–25 °C under sunny intervals or overcast skies with light north-westerly winds, aligning with typical late-summer patterns and the absence of strong warm advection. This positions 24 °C as the modal outcome in trader pricing, followed closely by 25 °C and 23 °C, reflecting model agreement on modest daytime heating without significant synoptic forcing. Climatological averages for mid-August hover around 23–25 °C, and current guidance shows no departure from baseline conditions that would support higher extremes. Updated model runs and agency briefings in the coming 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,717วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from sources including the BBC and Time and Date places Warsaw’s August 13 high near 24–25 °C under sunny intervals or overcast skies with light north-westerly winds, aligning with typical late-summer patterns and the absence of strong warm advection. This positions 24 °C as the modal outcome in trader pricing, followed closely by 25 °C and 23 °C, reflecting model agreement on modest daytime heating without significant synoptic forcing. Climatological averages for mid-August hover around 23–25 °C, and current guidance shows no departure from baseline conditions that would support higher extremes. Updated model runs and agency briefings in the coming 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,717วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from sources including the BBC and Time and Date places Warsaw’s August 13 high near 24–25 °C under sunny intervals or overcast skies with light north-westerly winds, aligning with typical late-summer patterns and the absence of strong warm advection. This positions 24 °C as the modal outcome in trader pricing, followed closely by 25 °C and 23 °C, reflecting model agreement on modest daytime heating without significant synoptic forcing. Climatological averages for mid-August hover around 23–25 °C, and current guidance shows no departure from baseline conditions that would support higher extremes. Updated model runs and agency briefings in the coming 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of the daily maximum observation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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