**Current KMA guidance points to a 25°C overnight minimum for Incheon on August 13 under clear skies, yet the market’s tight clustering around 23–25°C reflects lingering uncertainty in model runs and local factors.** Forecasters note that radiative cooling under dry, calm conditions could allow temperatures to dip toward 23–24°C, while coastal moderation and any residual heat advection from the recent heatwave may hold readings near 25°C. Historical August minima average near 22–23°C, but persistent high pressure and elevated soil moisture this season have produced warmer nights. Traders weigh the next 48-hour model updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration and potential micro-climate differences between Seoul’s urban core and Incheon’s airport station, where even 1°C shifts in dew-point or wind speed can separate the leading outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 13?
24°C 46%
23°C 38%
25°C 16%
22°C 13%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
13%
23°C
38%
24°C
46%
25°C
16%
26°C
9%
27°C
3%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 46%
23°C 38%
25°C 16%
22°C 13%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
13%
23°C
38%
24°C
46%
25°C
16%
26°C
9%
27°C
3%
28°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current KMA guidance points to a 25°C overnight minimum for Incheon on August 13 under clear skies, yet the market’s tight clustering around 23–25°C reflects lingering uncertainty in model runs and local factors.** Forecasters note that radiative cooling under dry, calm conditions could allow temperatures to dip toward 23–24°C, while coastal moderation and any residual heat advection from the recent heatwave may hold readings near 25°C. Historical August minima average near 22–23°C, but persistent high pressure and elevated soil moisture this season have produced warmer nights. Traders weigh the next 48-hour model updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration and potential micro-climate differences between Seoul’s urban core and Incheon’s airport station, where even 1°C shifts in dew-point or wind speed can separate the leading outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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