Persistent subtropical high pressure and above-normal seasonal temperatures are anchoring trader consensus around 28–29°C for Hong Kong’s August 13 minimum, consistent with Hong Kong Observatory guidance showing limited nocturnal cooling amid high humidity and residual warm air masses. Radiational cooling is suppressed by cloud cover and urban heat-island effects, while any thundery showers are unlikely to deliver sufficient evaporative or advective cooling to reach the long-term August average near 27°C. Model runs favor overnight lows of 28–29°C, with the narrow spread between outcomes reflecting uncertainty in exact shower timing and boundary-layer mixing rather than major synoptic shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 13?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 13?
29°C 44%
28°C 38%
27°C 16%
26°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 13, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
16%
28°C
38%
29°C
44%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
29°C 44%
28°C 38%
27°C 16%
26°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 13, 2026
22°C or below
$162 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$62 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$192 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$479 ปริมาณ
2%
26°C
$75 ปริมาณ
5%
27°C
$116 ปริมาณ
16%
28°C
$1,069 ปริมาณ
38%
29°C
$1,608 ปริมาณ
44%
30°C
$1,313 ปริมาณ
2%
31°C
$196 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C or higher
$183 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent subtropical high pressure and above-normal seasonal temperatures are anchoring trader consensus around 28–29°C for Hong Kong’s August 13 minimum, consistent with Hong Kong Observatory guidance showing limited nocturnal cooling amid high humidity and residual warm air masses. Radiational cooling is suppressed by cloud cover and urban heat-island effects, while any thundery showers are unlikely to deliver sufficient evaporative or advective cooling to reach the long-term August average near 27°C. Model runs favor overnight lows of 28–29°C, with the narrow spread between outcomes reflecting uncertainty in exact shower timing and boundary-layer mixing rather than major synoptic shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,455วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent subtropical high pressure and above-normal seasonal temperatures are anchoring trader consensus around 28–29°C for Hong Kong’s August 13 minimum, consistent with Hong Kong Observatory guidance showing limited nocturnal cooling amid high humidity and residual warm air masses. Radiational cooling is suppressed by cloud cover and urban heat-island effects, while any thundery showers are unlikely to deliver sufficient evaporative or advective cooling to reach the long-term August average near 27°C. Model runs favor overnight lows of 28–29°C, with the narrow spread between outcomes reflecting uncertainty in exact shower timing and boundary-layer mixing rather than major synoptic shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,455วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent subtropical high pressure and above-normal seasonal temperatures are anchoring trader consensus around 28–29°C for Hong Kong’s August 13 minimum, consistent with Hong Kong Observatory guidance showing limited nocturnal cooling amid high humidity and residual warm air masses. Radiational cooling is suppressed by cloud cover and urban heat-island effects, while any thundery showers are unlikely to deliver sufficient evaporative or advective cooling to reach the long-term August average near 27°C. Model runs favor overnight lows of 28–29°C, with the narrow spread between outcomes reflecting uncertainty in exact shower timing and boundary-layer mixing rather than major synoptic shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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