Short-term numerical weather prediction models indicate Beijing highs clustering near 28–30°C on August 13, driven by the seasonal strength of the western Pacific subtropical high and modest moisture from the East Asian monsoon. Ensemble spreads in guidance such as GFS and ECMWF reflect uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and any convective showers that could cap maximum temperatures by limiting solar insolation or enhancing evaporative cooling. Historical August climatology shows a 29°C average high with a standard deviation of roughly 2–3°C, placing the tightly matched 28°C and 29°C market outcomes squarely within expected variability. Updated model runs and official CMA forecasts over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Beijing on August 13?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 13?
29°C 28%
28°C 26%
27°C 16%
26°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 13, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
13%
27°C
16%
28°C
26%
29°C
28%
30°C
8%
31°C
7%
32°C or higher
2%
29°C 28%
28°C 26%
27°C 16%
26°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 13, 2026
22°C or below
$5 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$15 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$170 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C
$159 ปริมาณ
3%
26°C
$73 ปริมาณ
13%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
16%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
30°C
$5 ปริมาณ
8%
31°C
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
32°C or higher
$46 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term numerical weather prediction models indicate Beijing highs clustering near 28–30°C on August 13, driven by the seasonal strength of the western Pacific subtropical high and modest moisture from the East Asian monsoon. Ensemble spreads in guidance such as GFS and ECMWF reflect uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and any convective showers that could cap maximum temperatures by limiting solar insolation or enhancing evaporative cooling. Historical August climatology shows a 29°C average high with a standard deviation of roughly 2–3°C, placing the tightly matched 28°C and 29°C market outcomes squarely within expected variability. Updated model runs and official CMA forecasts over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$473วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term numerical weather prediction models indicate Beijing highs clustering near 28–30°C on August 13, driven by the seasonal strength of the western Pacific subtropical high and modest moisture from the East Asian monsoon. Ensemble spreads in guidance such as GFS and ECMWF reflect uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and any convective showers that could cap maximum temperatures by limiting solar insolation or enhancing evaporative cooling. Historical August climatology shows a 29°C average high with a standard deviation of roughly 2–3°C, placing the tightly matched 28°C and 29°C market outcomes squarely within expected variability. Updated model runs and official CMA forecasts over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$473วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term numerical weather prediction models indicate Beijing highs clustering near 28–30°C on August 13, driven by the seasonal strength of the western Pacific subtropical high and modest moisture from the East Asian monsoon. Ensemble spreads in guidance such as GFS and ECMWF reflect uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and any convective showers that could cap maximum temperatures by limiting solar insolation or enhancing evaporative cooling. Historical August climatology shows a 29°C average high with a standard deviation of roughly 2–3°C, placing the tightly matched 28°C and 29°C market outcomes squarely within expected variability. Updated model runs and official CMA forecasts over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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