Current forecasts from NOAA and regional models position Houston's August 12 high near the seasonal average of 95°F, with mid- to upper-90s readings expected under typical subtropical high pressure and southerly flow. Elevated humidity supports heat indices above 100°F but does not alter the dry-bulb temperature outcome traders are pricing. Recent model runs show limited convective activity that could cap afternoon peaks near 94–97°F, aligning with the market's concentration on those bins (48.5% and 30.5% implied probabilities). Historical August maxima rarely exceed 99°F without stronger ridging, keeping tail outcomes below 3% combined. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon observations will determine final resolution within the narrow 92–98°F window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Houston on August 12?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 12?
94-95°F 49%
96-97°F 28%
92-93°F 15%
98-99°F 2%
ใหม่
$15,479 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$15,479 ปริมาณ
Aug 12, 2026
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
15%
94-95°F
49%
96-97°F
28%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
1%
102°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 49%
96-97°F 28%
92-93°F 15%
98-99°F 2%
ใหม่
$15,479 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$15,479 ปริมาณ
Aug 12, 2026
83°F or below
$440 ปริมาณ
<1%
84-85°F
$587 ปริมาณ
<1%
86-87°F
$1,426 ปริมาณ
<1%
88-89°F
$692 ปริมาณ
1%
90-91°F
$1,946 ปริมาณ
1%
92-93°F
$1,002 ปริมาณ
15%
94-95°F
$1,863 ปริมาณ
49%
96-97°F
$5,891 ปริมาณ
28%
98-99°F
$606 ปริมาณ
2%
100-101°F
$511 ปริมาณ
1%
102°F or higher
$515 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from NOAA and regional models position Houston's August 12 high near the seasonal average of 95°F, with mid- to upper-90s readings expected under typical subtropical high pressure and southerly flow. Elevated humidity supports heat indices above 100°F but does not alter the dry-bulb temperature outcome traders are pricing. Recent model runs show limited convective activity that could cap afternoon peaks near 94–97°F, aligning with the market's concentration on those bins (48.5% and 30.5% implied probabilities). Historical August maxima rarely exceed 99°F without stronger ridging, keeping tail outcomes below 3% combined. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon observations will determine final resolution within the narrow 92–98°F window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,479วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from NOAA and regional models position Houston's August 12 high near the seasonal average of 95°F, with mid- to upper-90s readings expected under typical subtropical high pressure and southerly flow. Elevated humidity supports heat indices above 100°F but does not alter the dry-bulb temperature outcome traders are pricing. Recent model runs show limited convective activity that could cap afternoon peaks near 94–97°F, aligning with the market's concentration on those bins (48.5% and 30.5% implied probabilities). Historical August maxima rarely exceed 99°F without stronger ridging, keeping tail outcomes below 3% combined. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon observations will determine final resolution within the narrow 92–98°F window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,479วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from NOAA and regional models position Houston's August 12 high near the seasonal average of 95°F, with mid- to upper-90s readings expected under typical subtropical high pressure and southerly flow. Elevated humidity supports heat indices above 100°F but does not alter the dry-bulb temperature outcome traders are pricing. Recent model runs show limited convective activity that could cap afternoon peaks near 94–97°F, aligning with the market's concentration on those bins (48.5% and 30.5% implied probabilities). Historical August maxima rarely exceed 99°F without stronger ridging, keeping tail outcomes below 3% combined. Updated NWS guidance and afternoon observations will determine final resolution within the narrow 92–98°F window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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