Official Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance currently projects a minimum temperature near 25 °C for the Seoul-Incheon region on August 14, with mostly cloudy skies limiting overnight radiative cooling and modest humidity supporting a narrow diurnal range. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 24–26 °C, where small revisions in forecast model initialization or local wind shifts could easily move the realized low between these bins. Historical August climatology places typical overnight minima at 22–24 °C, but persistent warm advection and urban heat-island effects have kept recent readings elevated. Updated model runs and observational adjustments from the Korea Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts that could rebalance trader-implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 14?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 14?
25°C 31%
26°C 27%
24°C 19%
27°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 14, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
7%
24°C
27%
25°C
31%
26°C
27%
27°C
10%
28°C
10%
29°C
6%
30°C or higher
1%
25°C 31%
26°C 27%
24°C 19%
27°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 14, 2026
20°C or below
$28 ปริมาณ
1%
21°C
$18 ปริมาณ
4%
22°C
$5 ปริมาณ
4%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
24°C
$25 ปริมาณ
27%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
31%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
28°C
$28 ปริมาณ
10%
29°C
$28 ปริมาณ
6%
30°C or higher
$22 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance currently projects a minimum temperature near 25 °C for the Seoul-Incheon region on August 14, with mostly cloudy skies limiting overnight radiative cooling and modest humidity supporting a narrow diurnal range. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 24–26 °C, where small revisions in forecast model initialization or local wind shifts could easily move the realized low between these bins. Historical August climatology places typical overnight minima at 22–24 °C, but persistent warm advection and urban heat-island effects have kept recent readings elevated. Updated model runs and observational adjustments from the Korea Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts that could rebalance trader-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$153วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance currently projects a minimum temperature near 25 °C for the Seoul-Incheon region on August 14, with mostly cloudy skies limiting overnight radiative cooling and modest humidity supporting a narrow diurnal range. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 24–26 °C, where small revisions in forecast model initialization or local wind shifts could easily move the realized low between these bins. Historical August climatology places typical overnight minima at 22–24 °C, but persistent warm advection and urban heat-island effects have kept recent readings elevated. Updated model runs and observational adjustments from the Korea Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts that could rebalance trader-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$153วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance currently projects a minimum temperature near 25 °C for the Seoul-Incheon region on August 14, with mostly cloudy skies limiting overnight radiative cooling and modest humidity supporting a narrow diurnal range. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 24–26 °C, where small revisions in forecast model initialization or local wind shifts could easily move the realized low between these bins. Historical August climatology places typical overnight minima at 22–24 °C, but persistent warm advection and urban heat-island effects have kept recent readings elevated. Updated model runs and observational adjustments from the Korea Meteorological Administration over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts that could rebalance trader-implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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