Recent model consensus from meteorological agencies points to daytime highs of 36–38°C in Chengdu on August 13, 2026, as the dominant driver behind market-implied probabilities, with 37°C leading at 35% and 38°C at 25%. The Sichuan Basin’s subtropical monsoon climate, combined with urban heat retention and light winds, supports strong insolation under mostly sunny conditions expected that day, while high humidity elevates perceived temperatures without significantly capping peaks. Short-term forecast updates through August 11–12 show slight upward revisions from earlier guidance, consistent with historical late-August maxima occasionally exceeding 35°C amid weakening monsoon influences. Traders weigh these elements against the risk of increased cloud cover or scattered convection that could shave 1–2°C from the high, explaining the tight clustering around 36–38°C outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 13?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 13?
37°C 36%
38°C 25%
36°C 20%
35°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 13, 2026
32°C or below
4%
33°C
4%
34°C
8%
35°C
9%
36°C
20%
37°C
36%
38°C
25%
39°C
9%
40°C
6%
41°C
2%
42°C or higher
3%
37°C 36%
38°C 25%
36°C 20%
35°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 13, 2026
32°C or below
$5 ปริมาณ
4%
33°C
$5 ปริมาณ
4%
34°C
$143 ปริมาณ
8%
35°C
$2 ปริมาณ
9%
36°C
$32 ปริมาณ
20%
37°C
$12 ปริมาณ
36%
38°C
$26 ปริมาณ
25%
39°C
$2 ปริมาณ
9%
40°C
$57 ปริมาณ
6%
41°C
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
42°C or higher
$17 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from meteorological agencies points to daytime highs of 36–38°C in Chengdu on August 13, 2026, as the dominant driver behind market-implied probabilities, with 37°C leading at 35% and 38°C at 25%. The Sichuan Basin’s subtropical monsoon climate, combined with urban heat retention and light winds, supports strong insolation under mostly sunny conditions expected that day, while high humidity elevates perceived temperatures without significantly capping peaks. Short-term forecast updates through August 11–12 show slight upward revisions from earlier guidance, consistent with historical late-August maxima occasionally exceeding 35°C amid weakening monsoon influences. Traders weigh these elements against the risk of increased cloud cover or scattered convection that could shave 1–2°C from the high, explaining the tight clustering around 36–38°C outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$306วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from meteorological agencies points to daytime highs of 36–38°C in Chengdu on August 13, 2026, as the dominant driver behind market-implied probabilities, with 37°C leading at 35% and 38°C at 25%. The Sichuan Basin’s subtropical monsoon climate, combined with urban heat retention and light winds, supports strong insolation under mostly sunny conditions expected that day, while high humidity elevates perceived temperatures without significantly capping peaks. Short-term forecast updates through August 11–12 show slight upward revisions from earlier guidance, consistent with historical late-August maxima occasionally exceeding 35°C amid weakening monsoon influences. Traders weigh these elements against the risk of increased cloud cover or scattered convection that could shave 1–2°C from the high, explaining the tight clustering around 36–38°C outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$306วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from meteorological agencies points to daytime highs of 36–38°C in Chengdu on August 13, 2026, as the dominant driver behind market-implied probabilities, with 37°C leading at 35% and 38°C at 25%. The Sichuan Basin’s subtropical monsoon climate, combined with urban heat retention and light winds, supports strong insolation under mostly sunny conditions expected that day, while high humidity elevates perceived temperatures without significantly capping peaks. Short-term forecast updates through August 11–12 show slight upward revisions from earlier guidance, consistent with historical late-August maxima occasionally exceeding 35°C amid weakening monsoon influences. Traders weigh these elements against the risk of increased cloud cover or scattered convection that could shave 1–2°C from the high, explaining the tight clustering around 36–38°C outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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