Recent forecast guidance from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration highlights afternoon thundershowers under the prevailing southwest monsoon flow as the main factor capping peak temperatures near 34–35°C on August 18, with morning insolation and urban heat island effects supporting the market's tight 35°C–34°C spread. Ensemble models show modest spread in convective timing and coverage, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, while sea-surface temperatures near 29°C provide ample moisture but limited additional warming. Historical August maxima average 32–34°C, placing current trader consensus in line with typical late-summer conditions ahead of the next CWA update and refined GFS/ECMWF runs.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Taipei on August 18?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 18?
35°C 36%
34°C 31%
36°C 14%
33°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 18, 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
9%
32°C
4%
33°C
13%
34°C
31%
35°C
36%
36°C
14%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
1%
35°C 36%
34°C 31%
36°C 14%
33°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 18, 2026
28°C or below
$186 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$127 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$13 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$20 ปริมาณ
9%
32°C
$370 ปริมาณ
4%
33°C
$12 ปริมาณ
13%
34°C
$30 ปริมาณ
31%
35°C
$60 ปริมาณ
36%
36°C
$65 ปริมาณ
14%
37°C
$130 ปริมาณ
2%
38°C or higher
$8 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration highlights afternoon thundershowers under the prevailing southwest monsoon flow as the main factor capping peak temperatures near 34–35°C on August 18, with morning insolation and urban heat island effects supporting the market's tight 35°C–34°C spread. Ensemble models show modest spread in convective timing and coverage, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, while sea-surface temperatures near 29°C provide ample moisture but limited additional warming. Historical August maxima average 32–34°C, placing current trader consensus in line with typical late-summer conditions ahead of the next CWA update and refined GFS/ECMWF runs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,021วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration highlights afternoon thundershowers under the prevailing southwest monsoon flow as the main factor capping peak temperatures near 34–35°C on August 18, with morning insolation and urban heat island effects supporting the market's tight 35°C–34°C spread. Ensemble models show modest spread in convective timing and coverage, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, while sea-surface temperatures near 29°C provide ample moisture but limited additional warming. Historical August maxima average 32–34°C, placing current trader consensus in line with typical late-summer conditions ahead of the next CWA update and refined GFS/ECMWF runs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,021วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration highlights afternoon thundershowers under the prevailing southwest monsoon flow as the main factor capping peak temperatures near 34–35°C on August 18, with morning insolation and urban heat island effects supporting the market's tight 35°C–34°C spread. Ensemble models show modest spread in convective timing and coverage, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, while sea-surface temperatures near 29°C provide ample moisture but limited additional warming. Historical August maxima average 32–34°C, placing current trader consensus in line with typical late-summer conditions ahead of the next CWA update and refined GFS/ECMWF runs.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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