Recent NOAA and National Weather Service ensemble forecasts for New York City show a tight cluster of daytime highs near 82–85°F for August 15, driving the near-even split between those two leading outcomes. Scientific uncertainty arises from variable factors such as potential Atlantic sea-breeze advection that can cap temperatures, afternoon cloud cover tied to a weak frontal boundary, and small differences in model guidance on boundary-layer mixing and wind speeds. Historical August climatology places the long-term average high around 83°F, yet short-term model spread keeps adjacent bins competitive as traders weigh the latest runs ahead of final verification.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in NYC on August 15?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 15?
82-83°F 46%
84-85°F 37%
80-81°F 9%
86-87°F 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 15, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
46%
84-85°F
37%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 46%
84-85°F 37%
80-81°F 9%
86-87°F 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 15, 2026
75°F or below
$556 ปริมาณ
<1%
76-77°F
$394 ปริมาณ
<1%
78-79°F
$420 ปริมาณ
3%
80-81°F
$975 ปริมาณ
9%
82-83°F
$1,297 ปริมาณ
46%
84-85°F
$1,214 ปริมาณ
37%
86-87°F
$639 ปริมาณ
7%
88-89°F
$393 ปริมาณ
2%
90-91°F
$596 ปริมาณ
<1%
92-93°F
$301 ปริมาณ
<1%
94°F or higher
$536 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent NOAA and National Weather Service ensemble forecasts for New York City show a tight cluster of daytime highs near 82–85°F for August 15, driving the near-even split between those two leading outcomes. Scientific uncertainty arises from variable factors such as potential Atlantic sea-breeze advection that can cap temperatures, afternoon cloud cover tied to a weak frontal boundary, and small differences in model guidance on boundary-layer mixing and wind speeds. Historical August climatology places the long-term average high around 83°F, yet short-term model spread keeps adjacent bins competitive as traders weigh the latest runs ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,321วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent NOAA and National Weather Service ensemble forecasts for New York City show a tight cluster of daytime highs near 82–85°F for August 15, driving the near-even split between those two leading outcomes. Scientific uncertainty arises from variable factors such as potential Atlantic sea-breeze advection that can cap temperatures, afternoon cloud cover tied to a weak frontal boundary, and small differences in model guidance on boundary-layer mixing and wind speeds. Historical August climatology places the long-term average high around 83°F, yet short-term model spread keeps adjacent bins competitive as traders weigh the latest runs ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,321วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent NOAA and National Weather Service ensemble forecasts for New York City show a tight cluster of daytime highs near 82–85°F for August 15, driving the near-even split between those two leading outcomes. Scientific uncertainty arises from variable factors such as potential Atlantic sea-breeze advection that can cap temperatures, afternoon cloud cover tied to a weak frontal boundary, and small differences in model guidance on boundary-layer mixing and wind speeds. Historical August climatology places the long-term average high around 83°F, yet short-term model spread keeps adjacent bins competitive as traders weigh the latest runs ahead of final verification.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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