Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and NWS models point to an overnight low in the low 70s for New York City on August 15, driven by a warm, humid air mass with limited radiative cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies. Mid-August Central Park climatology shows normal minimums near 69°F, but recent monthly outlooks favor above-average temperatures overall, supporting trader consensus around 70–73°F as the most probable range for the daily minimum. Urban heat island effects and light winds further suppress sharper drops, while any tropical moisture or storm influence south of the region adds minor uncertainty to exact cooling rates. Upcoming NHC or local model updates could refine these probabilities before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in NYC on August 15?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 15?
70-71°F 46%
72-73°F 32%
74-75°F 11%
68-69°F 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 15, 2026
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
5%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
11%
70-71°F
46%
72-73°F
32%
74-75°F
11%
76°F or higher
3%
70-71°F 46%
72-73°F 32%
74-75°F 11%
68-69°F 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 15, 2026
57°F or below
$15 ปริมาณ
<1%
58-59°F
$5 ปริมาณ
<1%
60-61°F
$20 ปริมาณ
1%
62-63°F
$81 ปริมาณ
1%
64-65°F
$157 ปริมาณ
5%
66-67°F
$161 ปริมาณ
4%
68-69°F
$73 ปริมาณ
11%
70-71°F
$0 ปริมาณ
46%
72-73°F
$1 ปริมาณ
32%
74-75°F
$132 ปริมาณ
11%
76°F or higher
$316 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and NWS models point to an overnight low in the low 70s for New York City on August 15, driven by a warm, humid air mass with limited radiative cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies. Mid-August Central Park climatology shows normal minimums near 69°F, but recent monthly outlooks favor above-average temperatures overall, supporting trader consensus around 70–73°F as the most probable range for the daily minimum. Urban heat island effects and light winds further suppress sharper drops, while any tropical moisture or storm influence south of the region adds minor uncertainty to exact cooling rates. Upcoming NHC or local model updates could refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$962วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and NWS models point to an overnight low in the low 70s for New York City on August 15, driven by a warm, humid air mass with limited radiative cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies. Mid-August Central Park climatology shows normal minimums near 69°F, but recent monthly outlooks favor above-average temperatures overall, supporting trader consensus around 70–73°F as the most probable range for the daily minimum. Urban heat island effects and light winds further suppress sharper drops, while any tropical moisture or storm influence south of the region adds minor uncertainty to exact cooling rates. Upcoming NHC or local model updates could refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$962วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and NWS models point to an overnight low in the low 70s for New York City on August 15, driven by a warm, humid air mass with limited radiative cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies. Mid-August Central Park climatology shows normal minimums near 69°F, but recent monthly outlooks favor above-average temperatures overall, supporting trader consensus around 70–73°F as the most probable range for the daily minimum. Urban heat island effects and light winds further suppress sharper drops, while any tropical moisture or storm influence south of the region adds minor uncertainty to exact cooling rates. Upcoming NHC or local model updates could refine these probabilities before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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