Recent forecasts from meteorological models position 26°C as the leading outcome for Istanbul's August 14 maximum, with trader consensus reflecting expected highs near 27°C amid typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Official guidance shows sunny skies and moderate winds moderating temperatures below seasonal peaks of 28–29°C, while overnight lows around 22°C limit daytime buildup. Model consensus supports this range, though minor shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover could alter outcomes before resolution. Historical August averages near 28°C provide context, but the current setup favors the 25–27°C cluster over hotter thresholds. Updated runs from major agencies will refine probabilities ahead of the observation window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 14?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 14?
26°C 53%
27°C 23%
25°C 17%
28°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 14, 2026
23°C or below
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
17%
26°C
53%
27°C
23%
28°C
6%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 53%
27°C 23%
25°C 17%
28°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 14, 2026
23°C or below
$12 ปริมาณ
2%
24°C
$22 ปริมาณ
5%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
17%
26°C
$14 ปริมาณ
53%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
28°C
$1 ปริมาณ
6%
29°C
$10 ปริมาณ
3%
30°C
$33 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$12 ปริมาณ
5%
32°C
$12 ปริมาณ
2%
33°C or higher
$30 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models position 26°C as the leading outcome for Istanbul's August 14 maximum, with trader consensus reflecting expected highs near 27°C amid typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Official guidance shows sunny skies and moderate winds moderating temperatures below seasonal peaks of 28–29°C, while overnight lows around 22°C limit daytime buildup. Model consensus supports this range, though minor shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover could alter outcomes before resolution. Historical August averages near 28°C provide context, but the current setup favors the 25–27°C cluster over hotter thresholds. Updated runs from major agencies will refine probabilities ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$146วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models position 26°C as the leading outcome for Istanbul's August 14 maximum, with trader consensus reflecting expected highs near 27°C amid typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Official guidance shows sunny skies and moderate winds moderating temperatures below seasonal peaks of 28–29°C, while overnight lows around 22°C limit daytime buildup. Model consensus supports this range, though minor shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover could alter outcomes before resolution. Historical August averages near 28°C provide context, but the current setup favors the 25–27°C cluster over hotter thresholds. Updated runs from major agencies will refine probabilities ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$146วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological models position 26°C as the leading outcome for Istanbul's August 14 maximum, with trader consensus reflecting expected highs near 27°C amid typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Official guidance shows sunny skies and moderate winds moderating temperatures below seasonal peaks of 28–29°C, while overnight lows around 22°C limit daytime buildup. Model consensus supports this range, though minor shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover could alter outcomes before resolution. Historical August averages near 28°C provide context, but the current setup favors the 25–27°C cluster over hotter thresholds. Updated runs from major agencies will refine probabilities ahead of the observation window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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