Recent Met Office and ECMWF model consensus points to a minimum temperature near 18–20°C for London on August 14 amid an ongoing heatwave, yet trader probabilities cluster around 21–23°C. Persistent high pressure and warm southeasterly flow maintain an elevated warm air mass that suppresses nocturnal cooling, while clear skies and light winds further limit radiative heat loss to the atmosphere. These conditions contrast with typical August climatology, where overnight lows average closer to 14°C. Model spread remains notable due to subtle shifts in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns, with fresh runs and observational updates expected before resolution. Market-implied odds reflect traders weighing heatwave persistence against potential for modest cooling under variable high-pressure influence.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in London on August 14?
Lowest temperature in London on August 14?
22°C 30%
23°C 27%
21°C 19%
20°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 14, 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
5%
20°C
8%
21°C
19%
22°C
30%
23°C
21%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
22°C 30%
23°C 27%
21°C 19%
20°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 14, 2026
16°C or below
$32 ปริมาณ
1%
17°C
$18 ปริมาณ
1%
18°C
$18 ปริมาณ
2%
19°C
$20 ปริมาณ
5%
20°C
$295 ปริมาณ
8%
21°C
$219 ปริมาณ
19%
22°C
$510 ปริมาณ
30%
23°C
$197 ปริมาณ
21%
24°C
$45 ปริมาณ
5%
25°C
$59 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C or higher
$264 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF model consensus points to a minimum temperature near 18–20°C for London on August 14 amid an ongoing heatwave, yet trader probabilities cluster around 21–23°C. Persistent high pressure and warm southeasterly flow maintain an elevated warm air mass that suppresses nocturnal cooling, while clear skies and light winds further limit radiative heat loss to the atmosphere. These conditions contrast with typical August climatology, where overnight lows average closer to 14°C. Model spread remains notable due to subtle shifts in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns, with fresh runs and observational updates expected before resolution. Market-implied odds reflect traders weighing heatwave persistence against potential for modest cooling under variable high-pressure influence.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,675วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF model consensus points to a minimum temperature near 18–20°C for London on August 14 amid an ongoing heatwave, yet trader probabilities cluster around 21–23°C. Persistent high pressure and warm southeasterly flow maintain an elevated warm air mass that suppresses nocturnal cooling, while clear skies and light winds further limit radiative heat loss to the atmosphere. These conditions contrast with typical August climatology, where overnight lows average closer to 14°C. Model spread remains notable due to subtle shifts in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns, with fresh runs and observational updates expected before resolution. Market-implied odds reflect traders weighing heatwave persistence against potential for modest cooling under variable high-pressure influence.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,675วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ECMWF model consensus points to a minimum temperature near 18–20°C for London on August 14 amid an ongoing heatwave, yet trader probabilities cluster around 21–23°C. Persistent high pressure and warm southeasterly flow maintain an elevated warm air mass that suppresses nocturnal cooling, while clear skies and light winds further limit radiative heat loss to the atmosphere. These conditions contrast with typical August climatology, where overnight lows average closer to 14°C. Model spread remains notable due to subtle shifts in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns, with fresh runs and observational updates expected before resolution. Market-implied odds reflect traders weighing heatwave persistence against potential for modest cooling under variable high-pressure influence.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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