Persistent high-pressure conditions and an ongoing heatwave across northern France are anchoring trader consensus near 21–22°C for Paris’s overnight low on August 14. Clear skies and light winds are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, while elevated soil and urban heat retention from daytime maxima near 35–38°C sustain warmer minimums. Latest Météo-France and ECMWF guidance cluster projected lows tightly between 20–23°C, with only modest spread from ensemble members. Historical August climatology shows typical minima around 15–18°C, but the current synoptic pattern markedly elevates that baseline, explaining the market’s tight distribution and low probability assigned to outcomes below 20°C or above 24°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Paris on August 14?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 14?
21°C 43%
22°C 33%
23°C 19%
20°C or below 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 14, 2026
20°C or below
11%
21°C
43%
22°C
33%
23°C
19%
24°C
6%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
21°C 43%
22°C 33%
23°C 19%
20°C or below 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 14, 2026
20°C or below
$112 ปริมาณ
11%
21°C
$484 ปริมาณ
43%
22°C
$104 ปริมาณ
33%
23°C
$62 ปริมาณ
19%
24°C
$83 ปริมาณ
6%
25°C
$355 ปริมาณ
3%
26°C
$165 ปริมาณ
2%
27°C
$200 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$72 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$72 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C or higher
$72 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure conditions and an ongoing heatwave across northern France are anchoring trader consensus near 21–22°C for Paris’s overnight low on August 14. Clear skies and light winds are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, while elevated soil and urban heat retention from daytime maxima near 35–38°C sustain warmer minimums. Latest Météo-France and ECMWF guidance cluster projected lows tightly between 20–23°C, with only modest spread from ensemble members. Historical August climatology shows typical minima around 15–18°C, but the current synoptic pattern markedly elevates that baseline, explaining the market’s tight distribution and low probability assigned to outcomes below 20°C or above 24°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,782วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure conditions and an ongoing heatwave across northern France are anchoring trader consensus near 21–22°C for Paris’s overnight low on August 14. Clear skies and light winds are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, while elevated soil and urban heat retention from daytime maxima near 35–38°C sustain warmer minimums. Latest Météo-France and ECMWF guidance cluster projected lows tightly between 20–23°C, with only modest spread from ensemble members. Historical August climatology shows typical minima around 15–18°C, but the current synoptic pattern markedly elevates that baseline, explaining the market’s tight distribution and low probability assigned to outcomes below 20°C or above 24°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,782วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 1:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high-pressure conditions and an ongoing heatwave across northern France are anchoring trader consensus near 21–22°C for Paris’s overnight low on August 14. Clear skies and light winds are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, while elevated soil and urban heat retention from daytime maxima near 35–38°C sustain warmer minimums. Latest Météo-France and ECMWF guidance cluster projected lows tightly between 20–23°C, with only modest spread from ensemble members. Historical August climatology shows typical minima around 15–18°C, but the current synoptic pattern markedly elevates that baseline, explaining the market’s tight distribution and low probability assigned to outcomes below 20°C or above 24°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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