Latest National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for Seattle point to a highest temperature on August 15 centered in the upper 70s to low 80s, driven by persistent onshore marine flow from the Pacific, a shallow marine layer, and light southwesterly winds that limit daytime heating. This setup aligns with typical mid-August climatology, where average highs reach 77–79°F amid moderating sea breezes and minimal ridging aloft. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 78–81°F because model runs show modest spread from subtle differences in marine layer depth and exact wind speeds, with warmer scenarios requiring stronger offshore flow or reduced cloud cover that current guidance does not strongly support. Historical analogs from similar marine-dominated patterns rarely exceed 82°F without a pronounced thermal trough.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Seattle on August 15?
Highest temperature in Seattle on August 15?
78-79°F 34%
80-81°F 26%
76-77°F 20%
82-83°F 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 15, 2026
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
34%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 34%
80-81°F 26%
76-77°F 20%
82-83°F 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 15, 2026
73°F or below
$10 ปริมาณ
1%
74-75°F
$361 ปริมาณ
7%
76-77°F
$466 ปริมาณ
20%
78-79°F
$322 ปริมาณ
34%
80-81°F
$566 ปริมาณ
26%
82-83°F
$172 ปริมาณ
8%
84-85°F
$186 ปริมาณ
3%
86-87°F
$230 ปริมาณ
1%
88-89°F
$26 ปริมาณ
<1%
90-91°F
$306 ปริมาณ
<1%
92°F or higher
$361 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for Seattle point to a highest temperature on August 15 centered in the upper 70s to low 80s, driven by persistent onshore marine flow from the Pacific, a shallow marine layer, and light southwesterly winds that limit daytime heating. This setup aligns with typical mid-August climatology, where average highs reach 77–79°F amid moderating sea breezes and minimal ridging aloft. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 78–81°F because model runs show modest spread from subtle differences in marine layer depth and exact wind speeds, with warmer scenarios requiring stronger offshore flow or reduced cloud cover that current guidance does not strongly support. Historical analogs from similar marine-dominated patterns rarely exceed 82°F without a pronounced thermal trough.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,005วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for Seattle point to a highest temperature on August 15 centered in the upper 70s to low 80s, driven by persistent onshore marine flow from the Pacific, a shallow marine layer, and light southwesterly winds that limit daytime heating. This setup aligns with typical mid-August climatology, where average highs reach 77–79°F amid moderating sea breezes and minimal ridging aloft. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 78–81°F because model runs show modest spread from subtle differences in marine layer depth and exact wind speeds, with warmer scenarios requiring stronger offshore flow or reduced cloud cover that current guidance does not strongly support. Historical analogs from similar marine-dominated patterns rarely exceed 82°F without a pronounced thermal trough.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,005วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for Seattle point to a highest temperature on August 15 centered in the upper 70s to low 80s, driven by persistent onshore marine flow from the Pacific, a shallow marine layer, and light southwesterly winds that limit daytime heating. This setup aligns with typical mid-August climatology, where average highs reach 77–79°F amid moderating sea breezes and minimal ridging aloft. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 78–81°F because model runs show modest spread from subtle differences in marine layer depth and exact wind speeds, with warmer scenarios requiring stronger offshore flow or reduced cloud cover that current guidance does not strongly support. Historical analogs from similar marine-dominated patterns rarely exceed 82°F without a pronounced thermal trough.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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