Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble model runs for London on August 18 point to a daytime maximum near 26°C under mostly cloudy skies, following moderation after earlier August peaks above 30°C. This aligns with the market's close clustering around 24–26°C, where subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, wind speeds from the east, and Atlantic high-pressure influence create the narrow probability bands. Official guidance highlights limited solar heating and potential for light showers, tempering any rebound toward 27°C or higher while making sub-24°C outcomes less likely absent stronger frontal activity. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in London on August 18?
Highest temperature in London on August 18?
25°C 31%
26°C 22%
24°C 21%
23°C 9%
ใหม่
$10,757 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$10,757 ปริมาณ
Aug 18, 2026
22°C or below
6%
23°C
9%
24°C
21%
25°C
31%
26°C
22%
27°C
9%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 31%
26°C 22%
24°C 21%
23°C 9%
ใหม่
$10,757 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$10,757 ปริมาณ
Aug 18, 2026
22°C or below
$516 ปริมาณ
6%
23°C
$436 ปริมาณ
9%
24°C
$1,374 ปริมาณ
21%
25°C
$3,298 ปริมาณ
31%
26°C
$1,795 ปริมาณ
22%
27°C
$550 ปริมาณ
9%
28°C
$192 ปริมาณ
5%
29°C
$941 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$552 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$552 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C or higher
$552 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble model runs for London on August 18 point to a daytime maximum near 26°C under mostly cloudy skies, following moderation after earlier August peaks above 30°C. This aligns with the market's close clustering around 24–26°C, where subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, wind speeds from the east, and Atlantic high-pressure influence create the narrow probability bands. Official guidance highlights limited solar heating and potential for light showers, tempering any rebound toward 27°C or higher while making sub-24°C outcomes less likely absent stronger frontal activity. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,757วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble model runs for London on August 18 point to a daytime maximum near 26°C under mostly cloudy skies, following moderation after earlier August peaks above 30°C. This aligns with the market's close clustering around 24–26°C, where subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, wind speeds from the east, and Atlantic high-pressure influence create the narrow probability bands. Official guidance highlights limited solar heating and potential for light showers, tempering any rebound toward 27°C or higher while making sub-24°C outcomes less likely absent stronger frontal activity. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,757วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble model runs for London on August 18 point to a daytime maximum near 26°C under mostly cloudy skies, following moderation after earlier August peaks above 30°C. This aligns with the market's close clustering around 24–26°C, where subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, wind speeds from the east, and Atlantic high-pressure influence create the narrow probability bands. Official guidance highlights limited solar heating and potential for light showers, tempering any rebound toward 27°C or higher while making sub-24°C outcomes less likely absent stronger frontal activity. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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