Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, with widespread cloud cover and scattered rains or thunderstorms forecast by PAGASA for Metro Manila on August 20, forms the main driver behind the closely matched market-implied odds for a 31°C or 32°C daily maximum. These conditions limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, typically capping highs near or slightly above the long-term August average of about 30–31°C amid high humidity. Official outlooks show daytime peaks in the 28–33°C range depending on exact rainfall timing and intensity, creating genuine forecast uncertainty between the leading outcomes. Updated PAGASA guidance and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine expectations ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Manila on August 20?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 20?
31°C 26%
32°C 21%
30°C 20%
33°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 20, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
11%
30°C
20%
31°C
26%
32°C
21%
33°C
12%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 26%
32°C 21%
30°C 20%
33°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 20, 2026
25°C or below
$296 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$28 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$13 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$29 ปริมาณ
6%
29°C
$5 ปริมาณ
11%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
31°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
32°C
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
33°C
$1 ปริมาณ
12%
34°C
$126 ปริมาณ
3%
35°C or higher
$7 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, with widespread cloud cover and scattered rains or thunderstorms forecast by PAGASA for Metro Manila on August 20, forms the main driver behind the closely matched market-implied odds for a 31°C or 32°C daily maximum. These conditions limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, typically capping highs near or slightly above the long-term August average of about 30–31°C amid high humidity. Official outlooks show daytime peaks in the 28–33°C range depending on exact rainfall timing and intensity, creating genuine forecast uncertainty between the leading outcomes. Updated PAGASA guidance and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine expectations ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$505วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, with widespread cloud cover and scattered rains or thunderstorms forecast by PAGASA for Metro Manila on August 20, forms the main driver behind the closely matched market-implied odds for a 31°C or 32°C daily maximum. These conditions limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, typically capping highs near or slightly above the long-term August average of about 30–31°C amid high humidity. Official outlooks show daytime peaks in the 28–33°C range depending on exact rainfall timing and intensity, creating genuine forecast uncertainty between the leading outcomes. Updated PAGASA guidance and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine expectations ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$505วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity, with widespread cloud cover and scattered rains or thunderstorms forecast by PAGASA for Metro Manila on August 20, forms the main driver behind the closely matched market-implied odds for a 31°C or 32°C daily maximum. These conditions limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling, typically capping highs near or slightly above the long-term August average of about 30–31°C amid high humidity. Official outlooks show daytime peaks in the 28–33°C range depending on exact rainfall timing and intensity, creating genuine forecast uncertainty between the leading outcomes. Updated PAGASA guidance and short-range model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine expectations ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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