Recent model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicates a daily high near 31°C for Shanghai on August 18, 2026, as the main driver behind the market-implied odds favoring the 31°C bracket at 37.5%. Mid-August climatological averages hover around 30.8°C, with Pacific moisture and cloud cover from the East China Sea often moderating peak readings below seasonal norms through enhanced evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Short-range ensemble forecasts show stable steering patterns without significant subtropical ridge strengthening that would push temperatures to 33°C or higher, while typical urban heat island effects and humidity levels around 70-80% limit upside surprises. Traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and CMA model runs for any shifts in the 48-hour window before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 18?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 18?
31°C 39%
32°C 23%
30°C 22%
29°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 18, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
10%
30°C
22%
31°C
39%
32°C
23%
33°C
6%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 39%
32°C 23%
30°C 22%
29°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 18, 2026
26°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$101 ปริมาณ
2%
29°C
$5 ปริมาณ
10%
30°C
$49 ปริมาณ
22%
31°C
$54 ปริมาณ
39%
32°C
$26 ปริมาณ
23%
33°C
$38 ปริมาณ
6%
34°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
35°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
36°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicates a daily high near 31°C for Shanghai on August 18, 2026, as the main driver behind the market-implied odds favoring the 31°C bracket at 37.5%. Mid-August climatological averages hover around 30.8°C, with Pacific moisture and cloud cover from the East China Sea often moderating peak readings below seasonal norms through enhanced evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Short-range ensemble forecasts show stable steering patterns without significant subtropical ridge strengthening that would push temperatures to 33°C or higher, while typical urban heat island effects and humidity levels around 70-80% limit upside surprises. Traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and CMA model runs for any shifts in the 48-hour window before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$273วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicates a daily high near 31°C for Shanghai on August 18, 2026, as the main driver behind the market-implied odds favoring the 31°C bracket at 37.5%. Mid-August climatological averages hover around 30.8°C, with Pacific moisture and cloud cover from the East China Sea often moderating peak readings below seasonal norms through enhanced evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Short-range ensemble forecasts show stable steering patterns without significant subtropical ridge strengthening that would push temperatures to 33°C or higher, while typical urban heat island effects and humidity levels around 70-80% limit upside surprises. Traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and CMA model runs for any shifts in the 48-hour window before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$273วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicates a daily high near 31°C for Shanghai on August 18, 2026, as the main driver behind the market-implied odds favoring the 31°C bracket at 37.5%. Mid-August climatological averages hover around 30.8°C, with Pacific moisture and cloud cover from the East China Sea often moderating peak readings below seasonal norms through enhanced evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Short-range ensemble forecasts show stable steering patterns without significant subtropical ridge strengthening that would push temperatures to 33°C or higher, while typical urban heat island effects and humidity levels around 70-80% limit upside surprises. Traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and CMA model runs for any shifts in the 48-hour window before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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